Ole Miss at Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions
The Ole Miss Rebels (9-2, 5-2 SEC) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-6, 1-6) meet Thursday at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Rebels bounced back from their 52-17 trouncing at Georgia, racking up a 35-3 win against Louisiana-Monroe in a non-conference tilt. However, Ole Miss has failed to cash in 2 straight games for the 1st time this season. The Under cashed against ULM, and the total has gone low in 4 of the past 6 games overall.
The Bulldogs also stepped out of conference last time out, burying Southern Miss 41-20 as an 18.5-point favorite as the Over (48.5) connected. Mississippi State snapped a 3-game skid against the spread (ATS), and it is just 2-8 ATS in the past 10 games overall. The Over is 6-2-1 in the past 9 games overall.
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Ole Miss at Mississippi State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:04 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Ole Miss -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Mississippi State +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
- Against the spread (ATS): Ole Miss -10.5 (-110) | Mississippi State +10.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Ole Miss at Mississippi State picks and predictions
Prediction
Ole Miss 30, Mississippi State 23
Moneyline
Ole Miss (-400) will cost you 4 times your potential return, and that's a lot of money to lay in a rivalry game like the Egg Bowl.
The Rebels are looking for payback after suffering a 24-22 loss to the Bulldogs last season in The Grove. Mississippi State (+310) has actually won 3 of the past 5 meetings straight up, and it gets this rivalry game in Stark Vegas while desperately trying to qualify for a bowl with an upset win. Ole Miss is going to get the best effort from Mississippi State.
PASS.
Against the spread
MISSISSIPPI STATE +10.5 (-110) is a great play catching double digits in this rivalry game.
Mississippi State has covered the spread in 4 of the past 5 games, winning 3 of those outings outright. The underdog has covered in 4 straight meetings, and 6 of the past 7 in the series, while going 8-2 ATS in the past 10 Egg Bowl clashes.
Over/Under
UNDER 54.5 (-115) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
The total has cashed in 6 straight Egg Bowl battles, and 9 out of the past 10 games overall.
The Under is 4-2 in the past 6 games overall for the Rebels, while going 3-1 in 4 outings on the road. The total has gone high in consecutive games for the Bulldogs, but the offense has managed 13 or fewer points in 4 of the past 5 games. If the defense can hold down Ole Miss, this has the chance to really go well below the number.
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