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Penn State at Michigan State odds, picks and predictions


The No. 11 Penn State Nittany Lions (9-2, 6-2 Big Ten) square off against the Michigan State Spartans (4-7, 2-6) Friday. Kickoff from Ford Field is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Penn State vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Penn State got back in the win column after defeating the Rutgers Scarlet Knights 27-6 Saturday while covering as a 19-point favorite. The Nittany Lions were carried by their defense and run game in the win. The passing attack only accumulated 88 yards while the rushing attack gained 234 yards and accounted for 3 TDs.

Michigan State picked up a 24-21 win over the Indiana Hoosiers Saturday, covering as a 3.5-point underdog. Michigan State was outgained by the Hoosiers and committed more turnovers than the Hoosiers, but won because of 2 missed field goals by Indiana.

Penn State is No. 11 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by Paste BN Sports.

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Penn State at Michigan State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 5:59 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Penn State -2000 (bet $2,000 to win $100) | Michigan State +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Penn State -22.5 (-110) | Michigan State +22.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Penn State at Michigan State picks and predictions

Prediction

Penn State 33, Michigan State 10

Moneyline

PASS.

Penn State will pick up the win here, but a -2000 favorite is not worth the risk of betting on. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET PENN STATE -22.5 (-110).

The Nittany Lions are 8-3 ATS on the season while the Spartans are 5-5-1. Penn State is also 2-1 ATS in its last 3 meetings with Michigan State. The Nittany Lions have more to play for as a win here will likely guarantee an NY6 Bowl spot for Penn State, meaning the Nittany Lions should be motivated to blow out the Spartans.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 43.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in each of the Nittany Lions' last 2 games and has hit in each of the Spartans' last 2 games as well. The Under also hit in the last PSU-MSU matchups. Penn State's defense has been phenomenal this year and it will give this Michigan State team that is prone to turnovers a lot of trouble.

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