Miami Dolphins at New York Jets odds, picks and predictions

Myles Cohen | Staff Writer

The Miami Dolphins (7-3) visit the New York Jets (4-6) on Black Friday. Kickoff from MetLife Stadium is set for 3 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Dolphins vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Dolphins defeated the Las Vegas Raiders 20-13 last week but failed to cover as 14-point home favorites. The Under (44) cashed, dropping the Dolphins to a 5-5 O/U record on the season -- they're 6-4 against the spread (ATS). They haven't won back-to-back games since Week 5 and 6. Unfortunately, RB De'Von Achane was hit hard on his already injured knee on Miami's 2nd drive vs. the Raiders. He is listed as questionable for Friday.

The Jets enter on a 3-game losing streak -- they lost as 8.5-point road underdogs at the Buffalo Bills 32-6 in Week 11 -- and are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games. The Under (39.5) cashed for the 5th straight time for the Jets, who are 3-7 O/U and 4-5-1 (ATS). QB Tim Boyle will start in place of Zach Wilson, who is getting benched for mostly being ineffective.

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Dolphins at Jets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:38 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dolphins -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Jets +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins -9.5 (-110) | Jets +9.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Dolphins at Jets key injuries

Dolphins

RB De'Von Achane (knee) questionable
OT Terron Armstead (knee) questionable
WR Chase Claypool (knee) questionable
OL Lester Cotton (hip) questionable
OL Rob Hunt (hamstring) questionable
FB Alec Ingold (foot, ankle) questionable
OL Austin Jackson (oblique) questionable
OL Robert Jones (knee) doubtful
TE Durham Smythe (ankle) questionable

Jets

OL Mekhi Becton (ankle, knee) questionable
OL Duane Brown (hip) questionable
DB Michael Carter II (hamstring) doubtful
OL Billy Turner (finger) questionable

Dolphins at Jets picks and predictions

Prediction

Dolphins 27, Jets 14

Moneyline

STAY AWAY.

Though the Dolphins (-500) shouldn't have a problem putting away the Jets, risking 5 times your potential return isn't smart sports betting.

Against the spread

BET DOLPHINS - 9.5 (-110).

The Dolphins offense has capitalized on opponents' defensive mistakes this season. Don't expect Friday to be any different. QB Tua Tagovailoa's 21 TD passes rank 2nd in the league only behind Buffalo's Josh Allen (22). Tagovailoa's 293.4 passing yards per game rank 2nd -- Houston's C.J. Stroud is 1st (296.2).

Look for the Dolphins to cruise past the Jets.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 40.5 (-110).

Miami does well out of the gate, hitting the 1st-half Over in 15 of its last 21 games, according to Covers.com.

This Jets team has to be relieved they're getting a change under center. It should add a spark to an offense looking for answers.

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