New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The Atlanta Falcons (4-6) welcome the New Orleans Saints (5-5) to Mercedes-Benz Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Saints vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Falcons lost 25-23 at the Arizona Cardinals on Nov. 12 before their Week 11 bye. Atlanta has lost 3 in a row, failing to cover in each. It is 2-8 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 1-4 ATS at home. Atlanta is led by RB Bijan Robinson, who has 612 rushing yards in 10 games.

The Saints lost 27-19 at the Minnesota Vikings on Nov. 12 and are also coming off a Week 11 bye. They are 2-3 straight up over their last 5 and 1-4 ATS in that span. New Orleans is 2-3-1 ATS on the road and is led by RB Alvin Kamara, who has 388 rushing and 305 receiving yards through 7 games.

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Saints at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:43 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Saints -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Falcons +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): Saints -1.5 (-110) | Falcons +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Saints at Falcons key injuries

Saints

CB Marshon Lattimore (ankle) out

Falcons

QB Taylor Heinicke (hamstring) questionable

Saints at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Falcons 20, Saints 17

Moneyline

BET FALCONS (+105).

The Falcons will be going against a Saints team that will be without its best cornerback. Atlanta has scored 23 or more points in 3 straight games and should be able to get through a strong New Orleans defense that will be short-handed.

Atlanta has yet to be a home underdog and possesses good value here. The Saints have scored 20 or fewer in 6 of 10 games. Their offense hasn't been overly competent and may struggle on the road.

Take FALCONS (+105).

Against the spread

PASS.

Atlanta's plus-money moneyline is the better option here.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 41.5 (-110).

The Saints are 3-7 O/U and don't have a strong quarterback. They are 2-4 O/U this season. The Falcons are 3-5 O/U in their last 8 games and 4-6 O/U on the season.

Neither team has a strong quarterback, and given that, neither may sustain drives. Take UNDER 41.5 (-110).

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