Texas A&M at LSU odds, picks and predictions
The Texas A&M Aggies (7-4, 4-3 SEC) and LSU Tigers (8-3, 5-2) meet Saturday at Tiger Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Texas A&M vs. LSU odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Aggies head to Death Valley with a 2-game win streak, routing both Mississippi State and Abilene Christian, although Texas A&M is just 1-1 ATS in those outings and 1-4-1 ATS in the past 6 games overall. It is also doing this without coach Jimbo Fisher, who was relieved of his duties following the win over the Bulldogs.
The Tigers have also won 2 in a row since their last loss at Alabama, winning and covering in 2 games against Florida and Georgia State. LSU and Georgia State cashed the Under (75) last week, the 1st game this season that the Tigers went low on the total. Against SEC opponents, the Over is a perfect 7-0 this season.
LSU leads the all-time series 35-23-3, with Texas A&M winning last season by a 38-23 score in College Station. In the last meeting in Baton Rouge, the Bayou Bengals won 27-24 on Nov. 27, 2021. The home team has won the past 6 games in this series, with the road team last winning on Nov. 24, 2016, a 54-39 victory by LSU.
LSU is No. 14 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by Paste BN Sports.
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Texas A&M at LSU odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:36 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Texas A&M +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | LSU -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texas A&M +11.5 (-105) | LSU -11.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 66.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Texas A&M at LSU picks and predictions
Prediction
LSU 45, Texas A&M 36
Moneyline
LSU (-450) will cost you 4½ times your potential return, and that's just way too expensive for a team which has hemorrhaged points on the defensive end. This Tigers team allows 410.9 total yards per game, 241.4 passing YPG and 169.5 rushing YPG, and each mark is 100th in the nation or worse.
It simply cannot be trusted, although Texas A&M (+340) is also a wreck, and playing with an interim head coach.
PASS.
Against the spread
TEXAS A&M +11.5 (-105) has actually fared pretty well defensively this season, although facing LSU -11.5 (-115) is a completely different animal. The Tigers have a blitzkrieg offense, and a leaky defense. The Aggies have an adequate offense to be able to hang in Death Valley, and their defense is dominant at times. It will be interesting to see watch how things unfold.
The Aggies are 0-2-1 ATS in 3 games as underdogs this season, while LSU has covered the past 5 as a favorite. While the trends appear to be in favor of the home side, A&M's defense should help keep it within 1 score.
Over/Under
OVER 66.5 (-110) is the best play on the board.
Yes, it is a lot of points, but betting an Under in LSU games this season is just not something one does. The Tigers have seen the total go high in 10 of 11 games overall, and all 7 within the SEC.
The Aggies have gotten in on the Over game lately, too, going high in 2 of the past 3 games, both in conference, while cashing at a 4-2 clip in the past 6 SEC tilts.
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