Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The Houston Texans (6-4) welcome the Jacksonville Jaguars (7-3) to NRG Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Jaguars vs. Texans odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Texans beat the Arizona Cardinals 21-16 in Week 11 action Sunday, failing to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. Houston is 1-3 against the spread (ATS) over its last 4 and is 5-5 ATS on the season. It is 4-6 O/U. The Texans are led by rookie QB C.J. Stroud, who has 2,962 passing yards and 17 touchdowns on the season.

The Jaguars beat the Tennessee Titans 34-14 in Week 11, covering as a 6.5-point favorite. They are 6-1 ATS over their last 7 games and are 7-3 ATS on this season. Jacksonville is 5-0 ATS away from home. It is led by former No. 1 overall pick QB Trevor Lawrence, who has 2,382 passing yards and 13 total touchdowns.

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Jaguars at Texans odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:35 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Jaguars -124 (bet $124 to win $100) | Texans +106 (bet $100 to win $106)
Against the spread (ATS): Jaguars -1.5 (-112) | Texans +1.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Jaguars at Texans key injuries

Jaguars

CB Tyson Campbell (hamstring) out
WR Zay Jones (knee) questionable

Texans

WR Noah Brown (knee) out
RB Dameon Pierce (ankle) questionable
S Jimmie Ward (hamstring) out

Jaguars at Texans picks and predictions

Prediction

Jaguars 30, Texans 27

Moneyline

BET JAGUARS (-124).

The Jags have been terrific in this situation. They are 5-0 in games not at home and have won 3 of those 5 by 10 or more points.

Their only losses this season are to Kansas City, San Fran and Houston. The first two are Super Bowl contenders, and the Jags outgained the Texans earlier in their 37-17 home loss.

The Texans are 4-2 in their last 6 games but have losses to Carolina and Atlanta, two ugly 2-point defeats. They are struggling with the oddsmakers and are just 1-3 ATS over their last 4. Jacksonville is hot, and it is the better side to take here.

Back JAGUARS (-124).

Against the spread

PASS.

The spread and moneyline are virtually interchangeable, and taking the moneyline might reduce some late-game stress if it's close for minimal odds difference.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 47.5 (-110).

The Texans are 2-1 O/U in their last 3 games and have scored 30 or more in 2 of their last 3. Stroud has sustained drives this season and should continue to perform well. He put up 37 points on the Jags earlier in the season.

Jacksonville is 5-5 O/U this season and 3-2 O/U over their last 5 games. It has scored 30-plus points in 3 of its last 5. Expect another high-scoring game and take OVER 47.5 (-110).

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