Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals odds, picks and predictions

Drew Phelps | Staff Writer

The Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) face the Cincinnati Bengals (5-5) Sunday in Week 12 NFL action. Kickoff at Paycor Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Steelers vs. Bengals odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Steelers racked up 172 yards on the ground in Week 11 against division-foe Cleveland but lost the game 13-10. Pittsburgh failed to cover the 2.5-point spread and went way Under the 34-point total. For the 4th straight game, RB Jaylen Warren outgained his backfield mate RB Najee Harris. The Steelers average only 16.6 points per game, which is 5th worst in the league.

Cincinnati returns to the field in Week 12 for the first time since losing their franchise QB Joe Burrow for the season with a wrist injury. They had the bye week to get new starting QB Jake Browning prepared for this game. The rookie has completed just 8 passes in his career for 68 yards and 1 touchdown. The Bengals have lost their last 2 games.

This will be their first head-to-head meeting of the season. Their last game was Nov. 20, 2022, with the Bengals coming out on top 37-30, covering the 3.5-point spread, and it went Over the 39.5-point total.

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Steelers at Bengals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:05 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Steelers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Bengals +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): Steelers -2.5 (-110) | Bengals +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 35.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Steelers at Bengals key injuries

Steelers

DT Montravius Adams (ankle) out
S Minkah Fitzpatrick (hamstring) out
CB James Pierre (shoulder) questionable

Bengals

RB Chase Brown (hamstring) questionable
QB Joe Burrow (wrist) out
WR Tee Higgins (hamstring) out
LB Germaine Pratt (illness) questionable
OT D'Ante Smith (knee) doubtful
CB Cam Taylor-Britt (quad) out

Steelers at Bengals picks and predictions

Prediction

Steelers 17, Bengals 10

Moneyline

AVOID.

This game is really tough to call because the Steelers offense has been pretty dreadful with Kenny Pickett under center, which is why their offensive coordinator Matt Canada was fired this week. The Bengals have a new quarterback running the show, which is a complete wild card at this point. I'm going to avoid putting money down on this moneyline and look to the total for my bet.

My lean would be the Steelers because they still have all the same pieces in place with just a new guy calling the plays.

Against the spread

AVOID.

For all the same reasons I don't like the moneyline, I don't like this spread either. I really like the total, which is why I'm going to save my money for that bet.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 35.5 (-110).

This is a really low total for a NFL game, but I still believe this game goes Under.

I don't believe, even with a new play caller, that the Steelers offense will be that much better. Then you have an inexperienced quarterback facing one of the toughest defensive fronts led by T.J. Watt.

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