Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames odds, picks and predictions
The Vegas Golden Knights (14-5-2) and Calgary Flames (8-10-3) meet Monday. The opening puck drop at Scotiabank Saddledome is slated for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Golden Knights vs. Flames odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Vegas lost for the 3rd time in its last 4 games (1-2-1) in a 2-0 home loss to the Arizona Coyotes Saturday. A struggling-on-offense Knights squad has scored just 5 goals over those last 4 games. After going 11-0-1 over its 1st dozen games, Vegas has gone just 3-5-1 since.
The Flames also played Saturday. They closed out a 2-2-0 road trip with a 3-1 setback at the Colorado Avalanche. A scuffling Calgary powerplay went 0-for-4 Saturday. The Flames are just 1-for-their-last-29 with the man advantage.
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Golden Knights at Flames odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Golden Knights -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Flames -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights -1.5 (+200) | Flames +1.5 (-250)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Golden Knights at Flames projected goalies
Adin Hill (9-2-1, 1.97 GAA, .932 SV%) vs. Jacob Markstrom (5-7-2, 2.93 GAA, .901 SV%)
Hill last played on Wednesday, making 31 saves on 32 shots in a 2-1 overtime win over the Dallas Stars. The 27-year-old has been terrific for the Knights, but he does have significantly better numbers at home, both this season (.945 SV%) and in his career (.917 SV% at home vs. .908 on the road).
Two days after the Hill start against the Stars, Markstrom also faced Dallas. He allowed 4 goals on 28 shots on Nov. 24. The 33-year-old owns an .887 SV% over his last 3 starts.
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Golden Knights at Flames picks and predictions
Prediction
Golden Knights 4, Flames 3
Moneyline
Vegas likely is not as good as the club that averaged 4.17 goals per game through Nov. 4, and it is likely better than the one that has tallied just 2.11 GPG since. Puck-possession indicators have been solid.
Those same indicators reveal good things about Calgary as well. The Flames played the Knights tough last season, when the Pacific Division foes split 4 games. Look for some VGK value in the near future, just not in this contest. PASS.
Puck line/Against the spread
The juice drowns out any leverage here. PASS.
Over/Under
The total has gone Over in 6 of Calgary's last 9 home games against Vegas. The Over is also 12-7 in Flames games this season.
Both starting netminders have bloated, due-for-regression save percentages in short-handed situations (Hill .933 vs. Markstrom .922). Their road/home splits point to the Over here as well.
The Flames own a below-average 9.2% shooting percentage on all shots, and the Knights own a below-average 13.8% mark on high-danger looks. Both numbers are due for regression. Vegas had its offense running on all cylinders less than a month ago, and Calgary has averaged an improved 3.64 GPG over its last 11.
These division foes have totaled 66 goals over their last 10 meetings (6.60 average).
BACK THE OVER 6 (-105).
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