Sun Belt Championship: Appalachian State at Troy odds, picks and predictions
The Troy Trojans (10-2, 7-1 Sun Belt) welcome the Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-4, 6-2) to Veterans Memorial Stadium. Kickoff is set for Saturday at 4 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Appalachian State vs. Troy odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Troy lost 2 of 3 games to start the season but has rattled off 9 straight wins. It beat the Southern Miss Golden Eagles 35-17 Saturday, covering as a 17-point road favorite. The Trojans are 7-5 against the spread (ATS) this season and 2-4 ATS at home. They have covered 7 of their last 8. Troy is led by QB Gunnar Watson, who has 3,136 passing yards and 27 total touchdowns.
App State is riding a 5-game winning streak and beat the Georgia Southern Eagles 55-27 Saturday, covering as an 8.5-point home underdog. It beat James Madison 26-23 as a 10-point road underdog the week prior. App State is 6-5-1 ATS on the season and is 3-2-1 ATS on the road. It is led by QB Joey Aguilar, who has 3,268 passing yards and 35 total touchdowns.
Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by Paste BN Sports
Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+
Appalachian State at Troy odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:44 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Appalachian State +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Troy -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Appalachian State +5 (-110) | Troy -5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Appalachian State at Troy picks and predictions
Prediction
Appalachian State 27, Troy 24
Moneyline
TAKE APPALACHIAN STATE (+180).
App State has played some impressive games this season. Those include a 3-point road overtime win over James Madison, handing the Top-25 Dukes their 1st loss of the season. It has a 6-point road loss to UNC, which it entered as an 18-point underdog. It has also won outright 3 of its last 4 road games.
Troy lost to James Madison at home 16-14 in its 3rd game of the season and has been a favorite of 15 or more in 4 of its last 7 games. The Trojans schedule isn't as difficult, and they don't have many proven wins, losing to Kansas State 42-13 on the road Sept. 9. Other than those 2 losses (James Madison and Kansas State), they haven't played many challenging games.
Take APPALACHIAN STATE (+180) to pull off the upset.
Against the spread
SKIP.
The moneyline value is better here, and the rationale is still the same. To add to that, just 1 of Troy's 10 wins have come by 5 or fewer, so taking the spread over the moneyline isn't wise.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 53.5 (-110).
Troy has gone Under in 7 of its last 10 games and is 5-7 O/U on the season. It has held 6 of its last 8 opponents to 14 or fewer.
App State has gone Under in 3 of its last 4 games and is 6-6 O/U on the season. It has held 3 of its last 4 opponents to 23 or fewer points, including James Madison to 23.
Take UNDER 53.5 (-110).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
College sports coverage from Paste BN Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire