LAFC vs. Houston Dynamo odds, picks and predictions
LAFC welcomes the Houston Dynamo to BMO Stadium Saturday for the Western Conference Finals. Kickoff is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the LAFC vs. Houston Dynamo odds, and make our best expert MLS picks and predictions.
LAFC beat the Seattle Sounders 1-0 on the road Sunday. It won despite having 0.9 fewer expected goals. LAFC has won 3 straight games and 5 of its last 6. It beat Vancouver a combined 7-3 through 3 games of Round One (a best-of-3 series). LAFC ended the regular season with a 10-3-4 home record.
The Dynamo ended the regular season 3-5-9 on the road and finished 4th in the West. They had 51 goals for and 38 against through the 34 matches, ending with the 3rd-best goal differential in the conference. The Dynamo beat Sporting KC 1-0 at home in the semifinals and Real Salt Lake in 2 of 3 in the 1st round. Houston has won 4 of its last 6 and has won or drawn 8 straight.
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LAFC vs. Houston Dynamo odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: LAFC -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Houston Dynamo +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Draw +270
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -130)
LAFC vs. Houston Dynamo picks and predictions
Prediction
LAFC 1, Houston Dynamo 1 (LAFC advances in penalty kicks)
Moneyline (ML)
LEAN DRAW (+270).
The value is here, and Houston has been playing to the level of its competition for numerous weeks. The Dynamo have had more expected goals than their opponent in 4 straight games and beat LAFC a combined 5-0 through 2 regular season games.
Houston's strong midfield matches up well with LAFC. LAFC is rightfully in this position but has had fewer expected goals in 2 of its last 4 games and has drawn or lost 4 of its last 9.
Considering those trends, take DRAW (+270).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (-130).
LAFC has gone under this total in 3 of its last 4 games and has gone under it in 6 of its last 9. It has scored 0 or 1 goal in all 6 of those games that went under this total. Houston has gone under this total in 3 straight games and in 5 of its last 8.
The Dynamo have had more than 1.5 expected goals in just 3 of their last 12 games and have forced under 1.0 expected goals from their opponents in 4 straight. Expect a low-scoring game here and take UNDER 2.5 (-130).
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