Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions

Seth Orlemann | Staff Writer

The Los Angeles Chargers (4-7) visit the New England Patriots (2-9) on Sunday. Kick from Gillette Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Chargers vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Los Angeles fell 20-10 at home against the Baltimore Ravens last Sunday while failing to cover as a 3.5-point underdog. QB Justin Herbert went 29 of 44 for 217 yards with a touchdown and interception. His top receiver was WR Keenan Allen, who had 14 receptions for 106 yards. Herbert was the team's leading rusher with 4 carries for 47 yards.

New England lost its 4th straight game last Sunday, falling 10-7 at the New York Giants while failing to cover as a 4.5-point favorite. QB Mac Jones went 12 of 21 for 89 yards and 2 interceptions before being replaced by QB Bailey Zappe, who went 9 of 14 for 54 yards and an INT. RB Rhamondre Stevenson carried the ball 21 times for 98 yards and the team's only TD in the loss.

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Chargers at Patriots odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:19 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Chargers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Patriots +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
Against the spread (ATS): Chargers -5.5 (-110) | Patriots +5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Chargers at Patriots key injuries

Chargers

WR Keenan Allen (quadricep) questionable
G Zack Bailey (back) out
CB Ja'Sir Taylor (illness) out
TE Nick Vannett (concussion) out
S JT Woods (illness) out

Patriots

T Trent Brown (ankle, chest) questionable
WR Demario Douglas (concussion) out
RB Ezekiel Elliott (thigh) questionable
T Riley Reiff (knee) questionable
T Sidy Sow (ankle) questionable
DE Deatrich Wise (shoulder) questionable

Chargers at Patriots picks and predictions

Prediction

Chargers 27, Patriots 10

Moneyline

PASS.

New England, which is 1-4 at home this season, has been struggling mightily. It has lost its last 2 home games, and coach Bill Belichick benched Jones last time out after throwing 2 interceptions. Its only saving grace this season has been its defense, which has allowed just 40 points total in its last 3 games.

Unfortunately, Herbert and the Chargers (-250) will be able to exploit its lack of offense to win on Sunday. However, the spread offers a more reasonable price and is under the key number of 7.

Against the spread

BET CHARGERS -5.5 (-110).

With a struggling offense, it will be difficult for the Patriots to remain in the game. Scoring just 1 TD in their last 2 outings, the Patriots have not facilitated enough offense to be confident backing them. The Chargers have scored at least 17 points in all but 1 game this season, and that will continue in Foxborough.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 39.5 (-110).

Both the Chargers and Patriots have Over records of just 3-8, showcasing each team's struggles to move the ball this season. The Chargers have hit the Under in 8 of their last 9 games, while the Patriots have hit the Under in 9 of their last 10. New England has scored just 13 points combined in its past 2 contests and 7 or fewer in 4 of its last 8.

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