Skip to main content

Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning odds, picks and predictions


The Dallas Stars (14-5-3) take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (10-10-5) Monday at Amalie Arena. Puck drop is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Stars vs. Lightning odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Stars embarrassed the Lightning in Dallas Saturday with an 8-1 thumping. LW Jason Robertson picked up 2 goals to give him 8 on the year in what has been a slow start for him. The Stars have traded wins and losses over the last 4 games and sit in 2nd place in the Central Division.

The Lightning have lost 4 in a row, and all of them have been by multiple goals. This is their 5th game in 8 days, and they have 4 games this week. You have to wonder if the veteran club is starting to get winded during this crazy stretch. It's early, but Tampa would be out of the playoffs if the season ended today.

Stream the NHL all season on ESPN+, with your team's out-of-market games, exclusive games, originals and more. Get ESPN+ now!

Stars at Lightning odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Stars -110 (bet $110 to win $110) | Lightning -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars +1.5 (-250) | Lightning -1.5 (+200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Stars at Lightning projected goalies

Jake Oettinger (10-4-2, 2.44 GAA, .920 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (1-3-0, 3.87 GAA, .859 SV%)

"Otter" stopped 32 of 33 shots he saw Saturday night, and he stopped all 27 shots Winnipeg fired at him in his previous start. Oettinger had a rough patch before this heater where he allowed 5+ goals in 2 of 3 games, but he has righted the ship.

"Vasy" is still kicking off rust after missing the 1st few weeks of the season from back surgery. He has allowed at least 3 goals in 3 straight starts, and his benching against Dallas Saturday after allowing 6 on 25 shots was 1 of his worst starts in recent memory.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Stars at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 3, Stars 2

Moneyline

Dallas is 3-2-1 in the last 6 meetings with the Lightning, but Tampa has taken the last 2 at home. Despite their early season struggles, the Lightning are 6-3-3 at home. Coming off an 8-1 laugher, they're going to be charged up for revenge.

Take the LIGHTNING -110.

Puck line/Against the spread

I don't like either side of the puck line here.

PASS and look to the total.

Over/Under

The Stars are 7-3 O/U over the last 10, and Tampa is 4-6. This series seems to alternate Overs and Unders, and I fully believe the Under comes into play here. The Under is 4-0 in Tampa's last 4 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. So the Bolts are good at bouncing back.

Take the UNDER 6 (+100).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.