Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars odds, picks and predictions
The Vegas Golden Knights (17-5-5) face the Dallas Stars (15-7-3) Saturday at American Airlines Center. Puck drop is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Golden Knights vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
The Golden Knights doubled up the St. Louis Blues on the road Wednesday in the 2nd end of a home-and-home set. VGK has posted a 3-0-1 record in the past 4 games after going 0-1-2 in the previous 3 outings. The Over (6.5) against the Blues Wednesday snapped a 3-game Under run. The Under is 7-2 in the past 9 games overall, too.
The Stars picked up a 5-4 win in a shootout Thursday at Washington, snapping a 3-game skid on the road. The Dallas offense has been money lately, going for 56 goals across the past 14 games, or 4.0 goals per game (GPG). It's no surprise the Over is 4-1 in the past 5 games and 9-3 in the past 12 games overall.
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Golden Knights at Stars odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights +108 (bet $100 to win $108) | Stars -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights +1.5 (-230) | Stars -1.5 (+188)
- Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -132 | U: +106)
Golden Knights at Stars projected goalies
Logan Thompson (7-3-3, 2.38 GAA, .917 SV%) vs. Jake Oettinger (10-6-2, 2.67 GAA, .911 SV%, 1 SO)
Thompson allowed 3 goals Wednesday in the 6-3 victory in St. Louis, exacting a little revenge on the Blues after a 2-1 OT home loss Monday. He is 2-0-1 with a 2.00 GAA and .923 SV% in 3 starts since flipping the calendar from November to December, holding down the fort while Adin Hill is sidelined with a lower-body injury.
Oettinger was knocked around for 5 goals on 31 shots in a 5-4 loss against the Florida Panthers, and he has allowed 9 goals on 54 shots in the past 2 games, both losses. He has faced the Golden Knights twice this season, going 0-0-2 with a 1.89 GAA and .933 SV%, losing once in OT Nov. 22, and in a SO Oct. 17.
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Golden Knights at Stars picks and predictions
Prediction
Stars 3, Golden Knights 2
Moneyline
The STARS (-130) are a solid value as a moderate favorite. The play comes with some risk, as Dallas has lost a pair of games to the Golden Knights so far this season. The Stars lost 3-2 in a shootout at T-Mobile Arena Oct. 17 as the Under (5.5) cashed, while also falling 2-1 in OT at American Airlines Center Nov. 22, also in an Under (6) result.
Still, the Stars have been playing good hockey lately, picking up 5 out of a possible 8 points in the past 4 home games. This will be a 1-score game like the first 2 meetings, but this time in the favor of Dallas.
Puck line/Against the spread
The Golden Knights +1.5 (-230) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that's way too much risk for not enough reward.
AVOID, and look to the moneyline instead.
Over/Under
The UNDER 5.5 (+108) is a strong play at plus-money.
We've seen the total go Under in each of the first 2 battles in this series this season. The Over is on a 4-1 run for the Stars, and the total has gone high 9 times in the past 12 outings, though
For VGK, the Over Wednesday was a rarity, as the Under has cashed in 7 of the past 9 games overall, and 11 of the past 15 outings.
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