Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Rangers odds, picks and predictions

The Toronto Maple Leafs (14-6-5) and New York Rangers (19-6-1) lock horns Tuesday at Madison Square Garden at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Maple Leafs vs. Rangers odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Toronto played on Long Island Monday, losing to the New York Islanders in a 4-3 overtime battle. The loss was just the Maple Leafs' 4th since Nov. 8, and only 1 of those setbacks has come in regulation.

The Rangers defeated the Los Angeles Kings 4-1 Sunday, bouncing back from 2 straight losses, including a shutout at the hands of the Washington Capitals. Those 2 setbacks were on the road. At MSG, the Blueshirts have gone 8-1-0 over their last 9.

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Maple Leafs at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:46 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Maple Leafs +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Rangers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs +1.5 (-165) | Rangers -1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Maple Leafs at Rangers projected goalies

Martin Jones (1-0-0, 6.23 GAA, .900 SV%) vs. Igor Shesterkin (10-6-0, 2.83 GAA, .908 SV%)

Jones made his Leafs debut Thursday, allowing 1 goal on 10 shots in 10 minutes of mop-up work against the Ottawa Senators. The 11-year NHL veteran clocked a 2.99 GAA and .886 SV% in 48 games for the Seattle Kraken last season.

Shesterkin last started Saturday against the Caps. He yielded 4 goals on 29 shots and has allowed 9 over his last 2 starts. The 27-year-old owns a robust .934 SV% against the Leafs.

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Maple Leafs at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 4, Maple Leafs 3

Moneyline

The Rangers have gone 8-1-0 across their last 9 contests at MSG, and they are 6-3-1 over their last 10 games against Toronto.

New York's bounce-back win over a good Kings club Sunday was quite impressive, and the Rangers are filing significantly more high-danger looks over the last few weeks.

The Maple Leafs are likely due some regression in their stop rate of those HD shots.

With Toronto likely not putting its best foot forward between the pipes, Shesterkin's history against the Leafs and the Blueshirts having the edge in special teams, BACK NEW YORK (-154). You can find that price on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Puck line/Against the spread

PASS: the Maple Leafs have played a ton of 1-goal games lately.

Over/Under

The total has gone Over in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games.

Both sides have been consistent in churning out 3- and 4-goal games recently.

TAKE THE OVER 6.5 (+100).

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