Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots odds, picks and predictions
The Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) face the New England Patriots (3-10) Sunday in Week 15 NFL action. Kickoff at Gillette Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Chiefs vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Chiefs are in the midst of a 2-game losing skid after falling at home to the Bills, 20-17 in Week 14. WR Kadarius Toney cost Kansas City what could have been the game-winning touchdown because he lined up offsides. They lost outright as a 1-point favorite and went Under the total of 49. QB Patrick Mahomes passed for 271 yards, a touchdown and an interception. This is the first season since 2017 that the Chiefs are averaging less than 28 points per game.
New England snapped a 5-game losing streak Dec. 7 against the Pittsburgh Steelers, 21-18. They won outright as a 5.5-point underdog, and the Over (31) hit. Patriots QB Bailey Zappe threw 3 first half touchdowns and were able to hold off a Pittsburgh's second half comeback attempt. New England will need to put up more than their 13 points per game average to have any chance at beating the Chiefs Sunday.
The Chiefs won their last head-to-head matchup with the Patriots, 26-10, Oct. 5, 2020. Kansas City covered the 11.5-point spread as an underdog, and the Under (48.5) hit.
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Chiefs at Patriots odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Saturday at 1:10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Patriots +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
- Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -8.5 (-110) | Patriots +8.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 37 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Chiefs at Patriots key injuries
Chiefs
- RB Isiah Pacheco (shoulder) out
- OL Donovan Smith (neck) out
Patriots
- RB Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) out
- WR DeVante Parker (knee) questionable
- WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (ankle) questionable
- WR Tyquan Thornton (hamstring) questionable
- OT Trent Brown (ankle/hand/illness) questionable
- DL Christian Barmore (shoulder/illness) questionable
- LB Ja'Whaun Bentley (knee) questionable
Chiefs at Patriots picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 17, Patriots 13
Moneyline
AVOID.
The Chiefs scare me right now. They cannot score touchdowns, and it seems to only be getting worse. The fact that they don't have RB Isiah Pacheco once again does not help the situation. The only reason I like the Chiefs to win is because the Patriots have the same problem. I'm going to just avoid betting the moneyline completely - especially knowing I have to put down over 4 units to win 1 with the Chiefs.
Against the spread
BET PATRIOTS +8.5 (-110).
There were very few people that thought the Patriots would even cover against the Steelers in Pittsburgh last Thursday night, but they won outright. I'm not saying they are going to beat the Chiefs, but both of these teams have problems getting the ball in the end zone right now.
Kansas City has failed to cover the spread in 3 of its last 4 games.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 37 (-110).
I've stressed how bad these offenses have been - especially over the last few weeks. What makes this bet even more enticing is the fact that both of these defenses are playing good football. The Patriots have held their opponents to an average of 11.3 points per game while the Chiefs have allowed just over 17 points per game for the season.
New England has been Under in 4 of their last 5 games. Kansas City has been Under in 7 of their last 10 games.
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