Nevada at Hawaii odds, picks and predictions
The Nevada Wolf Pack (8-1) and Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (7-1) meet Sunday in Honolulu. The opening tipoff at SimpliFi Arena will be at 10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Nevada vs. Hawaii odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Nevada suffered its only loss this season Dec. 9 when it was upset 72-53 at Drake. A Wolf Pack team that has played a weak schedule and is ranked 53rd by KenPom was undone by 18 turnovers in that loss. UN bounced back on Wednesday and routed Weber State 72-55 to cover a -8.5 spread.
Hawaii, which collected its lone loss 3 games back (79-66 Nov. 30 at Utah), has won twice since. Its last game was an unlined affair a week ago against DII Hawaii Pacific, a 78-53 win. The Warriors have played just 2 games this month.
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Nevada at Hawaii odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8L54 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Nevada -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Hawaii +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nevada -1.5 (-110) | Hawaii +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Nevada at Hawaii picks and predictions
Prediction
Nevada 70, Hawaii 67
Moneyline
PASS.
This one is a near-pick'em, and the bettors on both sides are dialed in. Figure the true odds to be bracketed.
Against the spread
Same as above. This match-up sets up as Nevada minus a few points less a small home hardwood advantage for Hawaii. NO LEVERAGE to be gained here ... except perhaps on the Under.
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Over/Under
The last 32 UH home games have cashed on the Under 19 times. And in the last 9 Warrior games lined with a total of 140 to 149.5, the Under has gone 7-2.
The Wolf Pack likes to play at a faster-than-DI-average pace; Hawaii counters with an opposite tempo. Both teams derive more efficiency value from their defenses. Both have played weak schedules so far and have not seen the best defensive skill.
Save perhaps for free-throw frequency, most of the point spiral factors (offensive rebounding, turnover/transition, 3-pointers) figure to be in a moderate range at most. UH has thus far shot 39.3% from the perimeter, but the Warriors slate of defenses faced ranks 351st on KenPom. So, that accuracy mark stands out as a regression red flag.
The lean here is not like one of those 45-degree-angle palm trees on a Hawaii beach. So, consider a partial-unit play on the UNDER 142.5 (-105).
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