Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The Denver Nuggets (17-10) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (16-9) to Ball Arena Monday. Tip is set for 9 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Nuggets lead 1-0

The Nuggets lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder 118-117 Saturday, failing to cover as 5.5-point favorites. Denver is 3-1 against the spread (ATS) over its last 4 and is 11-16 ATS on the season. The Nuggets are 6-5-1 ATS at home. They are led by C Nikola Jokic, who is averaging 27 points and 12.4 rebounds per game.

The Mavericks beat the Portland Trail Blazers 131-120 Saturday, covering as 4.5-point road favorites. Dallas is 14-11 ATS and 5-1 ATS over its last 6 games. The Mavs are the 2nd-best covering team on the road with a 9-4 ATS record. They are led by G Luka Doncic, who is averaging 32.7 points, 8.3 rebounds and 9.1 assists per game.

Mavericks at Nuggets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:27 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +235 (bet $100 to win $235) | Nuggets -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +7.5 (-112) | Nuggets -7.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 238.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Nuggets key injuries

Mavericks

G Kyrie Irving (heel) out
F Maxi Kleber (toe) out
C Dereck Lively II (ankle) out

Nuggets

G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (concussion protocol) questionable
F Aaron Gordon (heel) probable
G Jamal Murray (ankle) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Mavericks at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 124, Mavericks 121

Moneyline

PASS.

With a spread of this size, it is just smarter to take that instead of the juiced moneyline, especially considering the Nuggets are 10-2 straight up at home.

Against the spread

LEAN MAVERICKS +7.5 (-112).

Dallas has covered 5 of its last 6 games. The Mavericks have key pieces to fill the spots around Doncic given their numerous injuries. G Tim Hardaway Jr. has also stepped up in a big way lately, scoring 25-plus points in 2 of the last 3 games.

Denver is streaky and is 3-6 ATS following a loss, which it is here after losing to the Thunder Saturday. The Nuggets have covered just 1 of their last 4 games at home. Take MAVERICKS +7.5 (-112).

Over/Under

BET OVER 238.5 (-110).

Both teams have an ultra-efficient offense. The Mavericks are 18-7 O/U and have gone Over in 6 of their last 7 games. They have scored 120 or more in 6 of those 7 as well. Dallas ranks 10th in pace as well so should want to play this game at a high tempo.

The Nuggets are 10-16-1 O/U but are 4-4-1 O/U in their last 9. They have tallied 114 or more points in 4 straight games. They scored 125 in the 1st matchup with the Mavs, a game that went Over 230. Both Dallas and Denver sit in the top 10 in effective field goal rate.

Take OVER 238.5 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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