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Famous Toastery Bowl: Western Kentucky vs. Old Dominion odds, picks and predictions


The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-5) and Old Dominion Monarchs (6-6) meet in Monday night's Famous Toastery Bowl in Charlotte. Kickoff at Jerry Richardson Stadium is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Western Kentucky vs. Old Dominion odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Western Kentucky won its last game 41-28 on Nov. 25 vs. FIU straight up and against the spread, but the Hilltoppers are just 1-5 ATS (3-2 SU) since Oct. 24. WKU sports a 1st-division offense, and one that leans heavily on the pass. On defense, the Hilltoppers rank 117th in the nation, yielding 428.3 yards per game.

Old Dominion, which played WKU 7 times (1-6 SU, 2-4-1 ATS) as a member of Conference-USA from 2014-21, needed wins in its last 2 games games to become bowl-eligible. It won the 2 games  -- against Georgia Southern (Nov. 18) and Georgia State (Nov. 25) -- by a combined 4 points. All 6 Monarchs wins this season have come in 1-possession games.

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Western Kentucky vs. Old Dominion odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Western Kentucky +162 (bet $100 to win $162) | Old Dominion -196 (bet $196 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Western Kentucky +4.5 (-106) | Old Dominion -4.5 (-114)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Western Kentucky vs. Old Dominion picks and predictions

Prediction

Old Dominion 27, Western Kentucky 24

Moneyline

PASS. No value here.

Against the spread

Western Kentucky is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog (6-2 when getting 3.5-10 points). WKU is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games when playing on 2-or-more weeks of rest.

The Hilltoppers are the more-picked-apart-by-the-portal team here, and that's why they are the underdog at all. But ODU LB Jason Henderson, the nation's top tackler with 170 stops, is also expected to miss the game with an injury.

Old Dominion struggles on offense and in defending the pass. The Monarchs will not be facing the particulars that cranked out 286 passing yards per game for the Hilltoppers, but we should expect WKU coach Ty Helton -- owner of a 3-1 bowl record -- to pass more than a lot of teams this ODU bunch has seen.

The overall talent base -- lopping off, say, 20% from the top of each roster -- favors the Hilltoppers. Expect them to stay in this game.

BACK WESTERN KENTUCKY +4.5 (-106).

Over/Under

A mix of multiple leans swinging to both sides of this number. So, STEER CLEAR.

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