Mississippi Valley State at Baylor odds, picks and predictions
The No. 10 Baylor Bears (9-2) welcome the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (0-11) to the Ferrell Center Friday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Mississippi Valley State vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Baylor is No. 10 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll. The Bears lost to the No. 19 Duke Blue Devils 78-70 Wednesday, failing to cover as 2.5-point neutral-court underdogs. They are 6-3-1 against the spread (ATS) this season yet 0-2 straight up and ATS over their last 2 matches. Baylor is led by G Ja'Kobe Walter, who is averaging 14.4 points per game.
Mississippi Valley State lost to the Tulsa Golden Hurricane 79-50 on the road Tuesday. It failed to cover as a 25-point underdog. The Delta Devils are 4-7 ATS on the season and have played all 11 games on the road. They have games against teams like No. 5 UConn and No. 16 Gonzaga as well. They are led by G Rayquan Brown, who is averaging 15.8 points per game.
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Mississippi Valley State at Baylor odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Off the board
- Against the spread (ATS): Mississippi Valley State +38.5 (-104) | Baylor -38.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Mississippi Valley State at Baylor picks and predictions
Prediction
Baylor 85, Mississippi Valley State 50
Moneyline
PASS.
Even if there's a moneyline option at any book, avoid it.
Against the spread
LEAN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE +38.5 (-104).
While the Delta Devils haven't covered well this season and haven't even won, they are 3-0 ATS when the spread is 38 or higher. They lost by 38 to Gonzaga, 34 to TCU, and 34 to UConn.
At this spread, it is hard to continue to pull away, especially late in games when the outcome is decided. Baylor is coming off 2 straight losses as well, one by 8 and one by 24, so it isn't exactly playing its best basketball either.
Given those trends, back MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE +38.5 (-104).
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 139.5 (-110).
Baylor has gone Under in 3 of its last 4 games and has scored sub-80 points in all 3. It is 6-4 O/U on the season. The Delta Devils do not score frequently, having tallied 40 or fewer in 2 of their last 3 games.
They have gone Under in 3 straight and in 9 of their last 10. They have gone Under against every ranked opponent this season. The Bears are 2-2 O/U as a favorite of 20 or more. Back UNDER 139.5 (-110).
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