Deontay Wilder vs. Joseph Parker odds, picks and predictions

In a 12-round heavyweight bout, former WBC champion Deontay Wilder meets former WBO champ Joseph Parker on Saturday in the co-main event at Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. DAZN's "Day of Reckoning" preliminary fights begin at 11 a.m. ET, with the main card beginning at approximately 4 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Wilder vs. Parker odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Records: Wilder (43-2-1, 42 KOs) | Parker (33-3-0, 23 KOs)

Wilder scored a 1st-round KO victory over Robert Helenius last time out at Barclays Center in Brooklyn in Oct. 2022, bouncing back from a pair of KO/TKO losses against Tyson Fury. Now, Wilder can set himself up for big things in 2024, but he cannot take the former champ lightly.

We haven't seen Wilder end up going the distance since that draw against Fury in Dec. 2018 at Staples Center in Los Angeles. He has ended up with 6 KO/TKO wins and 2 losses by the method across his past 9 outings.

Parker has picked up consecutive wins via KO/TKO, dropping Simon Kean in the 3rd round in Saudi Arabia last time out in Oct. 2023 while taking care of Faiga Opelu in Australia in a 1st-round KO/TKO. The last time he went the distance was Jan. 2023 against Jack Massey in Manchester, U.K.

Deontay Wilder vs. Joseph Parker odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

• Fight result (3-way line): Wilder -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Parker +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Tie +2500 (bet $100 to win $2,500)
• Over/Under rounds: Over 8 (-110) | Under 8 (-125)
• Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +275 | No -400)

Deontay Wilder vs. Joseph Parker picks and predictions

Fight result (3-way line or moneyline)

Backing Wilder (-600) is way too risky, costing 6 times your potential return. For example, a $100 wager on the 3-way line would net just $16.67 of profit. That's too much risk for not enough reward.

Instead, get a little more specific with round block betting. Wilder has had 5 consecutive fights end via KO/TKO, win or lose. He should keep his title hopes on track with a resounding victory by knockout, but playing Wilder by KO/TKO/Technical Decision or DQ (-350) is even too expensive. In 4 of the past 5 fights for Wilder, it was done by Round 7. I like WILDER IN ROUNDS 1-6 (+110) in the "Round Group Betting 3" at plus-money.

Over/Under (O/U)

No (-400): Will the fight go the distance? is just too expensive at 4 times your potential return.

Instead, there are several Over/Under options on the board. UNDER 10 ROUNDS (-225) is a little on the expensive side, but OK if you're a conservative bettor, especially if you were to pair this with 1 or 2 other options. UNDER 8 ROUNDS (-125) is a little more risky, but Wilder should get this one done prior to Round 7.

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