Indianapolis Colts at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Jess Root | Staff Writer

The Indianapolis Colts (8-6) are on the road in Week 16 facing the Atlanta Falcons (6-8). Kickoff is Sunday at 1 p.m. ET at Mercedez-Benz Stadium (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Colts vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Colts, tied atop the AFC South, are the No. 7 seed in the AFC. They have won 5 of their last 6 games. Playing on Saturday in Week 15, they beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 30-13 at home, covering the 1-point spread as favorites.

The Falcons have lost 2 in a row and 5 of their last 7. They fell on the road 9-7 to the Carolina Panthers when they were favored by 2.5 points. They are 10th in the NFC and battling for both the wild card and the NFC South division title.

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Colts at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:50 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Colts +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Falcons -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Colts +2.5 (-105) | Falcons -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 45 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Colts at Falcons key injuries

Colts

C Jack Anderson (illness) out
RB Zack Moss (forearm) questionable
LB Segun Olubui (hip) out
WR Michael Pittman Jr. (shoulder) questionable
OL Braden Smith (knee) out

Falcons

OL Kaleb McGary (knee) questionable
DL David Onyemata (ankle) questionable
LB Bud Dupree (back) questionable
FB Keith Smith (ankle) doubtful

Colts at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Colts 27, Falcons 20

Moneyline

After the Falcons lost to the 1-win Panthers giving them their 2nd win, it is hard to trust them. They have lost 5 of their last 7 games and have moved back to QB Taylor Heinicke as the starter. He is 0-2 as a starter this season.

The Colts, meanwhile, have won 5 of their last 6 games but only 1 of those wins is against anybody of note (their 27-20 win over the Buccaneers, who lead the NFC South). They lost to the same Saints 37-28 that the Falcons beat 24-15.

But if Onyemata isn't playing, and even if he isn't 100%, the Colts will be able to run the ball. RB Jonathan Taylor (thumb) is expected to return.

The Colts have scored 27 or more in 3 of their last 4.

BET COLTS (+120).

Against the spread

The Colts are 9-5 ATS this season. The Falcons are 4-10 ATS, making them a very unreliable ATS bet to back.

The Colts are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10.

But liking the Colts for the straight-up victory, passing on the spread for the plus-odds on the moneyline is the way to go.

PASS.

Over/Under

Three of the Falcons' last 4 games have not had more than 39 points. Two had 21 or fewer total points.

However, 4 of the Falcons' last 7 have had more than 45 total points.

Three of the Colts' last 4 have had over 45 points. They have scored 27 or more in 6 of their last 8 games.

BET OVER 45 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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