Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The Atlanta Hawks (12-16) welcome the Memphis Grizzlies (8-19) to State Farm Arena Saturday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Grizzlies vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting of 2023.

The Hawks lost to the Miami Heat 122-113 on the road Friday, failing to cover as 1-point underdogs. They are 7-21 against the spread (ATS) yet are just 2-3 ATS over their last 5 games. Atlanta has won 3 of its last 5 as well. The Hawks are a league-worst 1-10 ATS at home. They are led by G Trae Young, who is averaging 28.2 points per game.

G Ja Morant returned Tuesday from a 25-game suspension and hit the game-winner. They beat the Pelicans 115-113, covering as 8.5-point road underdogs Tuesday. Memphis then played the Indiana Pacers at home Thursday and won 116-103, covering as 2-point favorites. It is 2-0 ATS with Morant and 11-16 ATS on the season. The Grizzlies are 7-7 ATS on the road.

Grizzlies at Hawks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -104 (bet $104 to win $100) | Hawks -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -1 (-108) | Hawks +1 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 239 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Grizzlies at Hawks key injuries

Grizzlies

G Luke Kennard (knee) out
G Marcus Smart (foot) doubtful

Hawks

F DeAndre Hunter (knee) out
F Jalen Johnson (wrist) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Grizzlies at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 119, Hawks 117

Moneyline

The lines have shifted Saturday morning making Memphis' ML more profitable than the 1-point spread.

Take the GRIZZLIES -104.

Against the spread

With Morant, the Grizzlies are among the best teams in the West. Morant is averaging 27 points per game on 47.5% shooting. They are 2-0 ATS and straight up with the star guard.

As noted above, the Hawks are one of the worst ATS teams in the NBA at home and have failed to cover 9 straight at home. Atlanta is 1-3 ATS as a home underdog. While Young is a star offensively, he may be a liability on the defensive end, guarding either Morant or G Desmond Bane.

You can take GRIZZLIES -1 (-108) if the ML shifts to be more expensive again, but it makes more sense to stick with the ML.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 239 (-110).

The Grizzlies are 0-4 O/U in their last 4 games and 10-17 O/U on the season. They have yet to top 116 points with Morant and have gone Under 105 in 3 of their last 5. The Grizzlies rank 17th in pace and 29th in offensive rating this season.

The Hawks play at a fast tempo but aren't overly efficient. They are 18-9 O/U. They will be taking on a Grizzlies team, that, with Morant, had the 3rd-best regular-season defensive rating last season. The Hawks are 3-2 O/U in their last 5 games.

For a smaller unit, play the UNDER 239 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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