San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The Dallas Mavericks (16-12) welcome the San Antonio Spurs (4-23) to American Airlines Center Saturday. Tip is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Spurs vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Dallas leads 1-0

The Mavericks sit 7th in the Western Conference and are coming off a 122-96 road loss to the Houston Rockets Friday, failing to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. They are 14-14 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 3-4 ATS over their last 7 home games. Dallas is led by G Luka Doncic, who missed Friday's tilt with a quad injury. The 4-time All-Star is averaging 32.7 points and 9.1 assists per game.

The Spurs snapped an 18-game losing streak on Dec. 15 against the Los Angeles Lakers but haven't won since. They lost 114-95 to the Chicago Bulls Thursday, failing to cover as 6.5-point road underdogs. San Antonio is 11-16 ATS on the season yet 3-2 ATS over its last 5. It is led by rookie F Victor Wembanyama, who is averaging 18.5 points per game.

Spurs at Mavericks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Spurs +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Mavericks -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Spurs +7 (-110) | Mavericks -7 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 239.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Spurs at Mavericks key injuries

Spurs

F Keldon Johnson (back) probable

Mavericks

Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Spurs at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 124, Spurs 118

Moneyline

PASS.

Dallas (-280) should bounce back here, and San Antonio hasn't played well enough to consider it as a sizable plus-money underdog.

Against the spread

LEAN SPURS +7 (-110).

The Spurs have a talented roster, but they still have to consistently put together how to play through their star rookie. San Antonio has figured it out more as of late, covering 3 of its last 5. It is 2-2 ATS over its last 4 home games as well.

While the Mavericks are 14-14 ATS on the season, they are just 1-4 ATS over their last 5 games and 0-2 ATS over their last 2 at home. Considering the trends, take SPURS +7 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 239.5 (-110).

The Spurs have a young team and want to play at an ultra-fast tempo. They sit 3rd in the NBA in pace, with Dallas at 10th. The Spurs are 18-9 O/U this season and 4-1 O/U in their last 5 games. They have allowed 132 or more in 2 of their last 3.

Both teams rank in the bottom-3rd of the league (Dallas 23rd and San Antonio 24th) in defensive rating. The Mavs are 6-4 O/U in their last 10. That said, back OVER 239.5 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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