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St. John's at UConn odds, picks and predictions


The St. John's Red Storm (8-3, 1-0 Big East) and UConn Huskies (10-2, 0-1) tangle in Saturday night Big East action. The opening tipoff at the XL Center in Hartford will be at 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the St. John's vs. UConn odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

St. John's is coming off a solid 81-66 win (as a -5) over Xavier Wednesday, and over its last 6 games, the Red Storm is 5-1 straight up and 5-1 against the spread. SJU is looking to avoid its fate from last season when it went 11-1 over its 1st 12 games only to go 7-14 after Dec. 20.

UConn, which is No. 5 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll, is coming off a disappointing Wednesday loss to Seton Hall (75-60). The 8-point underdog Pirates held the Huskies to a season-low 37.9% mark from the field. The loss snapped a 3-game Connecticut win streak.

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St. John's at UConn odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Off the board
  • Against the spread (ATS): St. John's +11.5 (-110) | UConn -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

St. John's at UConn picks and predictions

Prediction

UConn 87, St. John's 71

Moneyline

PASS: UConn is the lean, but even if odds are placed on it again, it won't be worth it.

Against the spread

SJU is 13-18 ATS across its last 31 games as an underdog. UConn is 25-14 ATS in its last 39 games lined with totals in the 140s.

UConn excels at getting better looks than its opponents. The Huskies are efficient at both ends of the floor and are a superior rebounding team. SJU beat UConn on its home floor last season (Jan. 15). Look for the Huskies to be salty in payback for that and the setback against Seton Hall. The last 5 SU loss for the Huskies have been followed by 4 ATS wins.

The Red Storm cannot match UConn's ability to generate good looks in and around the paint. SJU has really good perimeter shooting numbers, but they are tilted heavily toward home games (32.7% on 3s in road/neutral games).

BACK THE HUSKIES -11.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

These foes have played 8 games since 2011: the Over has hit 7 times. The last 7 times Connecticut was held to 60 points or less, the following game has cashed on the Over 5 times.

Expect a lot of putbacks and UConn 1s and 3s. The total came down 2 points overnight as well.

BACK THE OVER 147.5 (-110).

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