Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Payton Shanks | Staff Writer

The Golden State Warriors (15-14) take on the Denver Nuggets (21-10) on Christmas Day. Tip-off from Ball Arena is set for 2:30 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Warriors vs. Nuggetsodds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Denver leads 1-0

Golden State picked up its 5th straight win with a 126-106 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers Saturday while covering as an 8-point favorite. The Warriors have topped 125 points in each of their last 3 games and have scored 120 or more points in 4 of their last 5.

Denver has now won 4 consecutive games after beating the Charlotte Hornets 102-95 Saturday, but failing to cover as an 11-point favorite. Denver has held opponents to under 105 points in 3 of its last 4 games and is 7-3 in its last 10 overall.

Warriors at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 7:17 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Warriors +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Nuggets -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +6.5 (-110) | Nuggets -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Warriors at Nuggets key injuries

Warriors

Not yet submitted

Nuggets

G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (back) probable
F Aaron Gordon (heel) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Warriors at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 115, Warriors 113

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Nuggets just slightly to pick up the win here, but they are not worth betting on as a -275 favorite. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

LEAN WARRIORS +6.5 (-110).

The Warriors have looked like a much different team since the suspension of F Draymond Green, and I expect Golden State to ride that momentum into this matchup. Golden State is also 2-0-1 ATS in its last 3 overall.

Golden State is very hot right now, but this bet is still a lean because Denver is also hot and has been dominant at home this year.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 233.5 (-110).

The Under is 19-11-1 for Denver this year and is 7-2-1 in Denver's last 10 games. The Under is also 4-0 in Denver's last 4 home games.

This is a lean because the Under has been much safer for Denver, but the Over has been much safer for Golden State, and neither has had much of an edge in recent Warriors-Nuggets matchups.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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