Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The Miami Heat (17-12) welcome the Philadelphia 76ers (20-8) to Kaseya Center Monday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the 76ers vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Heats won 2 of 3 last season

The Heat beat the Atlanta Hawks 122-113 Friday, covering as 1-point home favorites. Miami has won 5 of its last 7 games, but is just 3-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last 8 games and 13-16 ATS on the season. It is led by G Tyler Herro, who is averaging 24.2 points, but has played in just 11 games. The Heat are the 3rd-worst home-covering team in the NBA at 4-10 ATS.

The Sixers are the 2nd-best road-covering team in the NBA at 8-4 ATS. Philadelphia has won 8 of its last 9 and is coming off a 121-111 home win over the Toronto Raptors Friday. It covered as 8-point favorites in that battle. It has covered in 20 of 28 games this season and in 7 of its last 8. The 76ers are led by C Joel Embiid, who is averaging 35 points, 11.7 rebounds and 6 assists per game.

76ers at Heat odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 6:56 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): 76ers +116 (bet $100 to win $116) | Heat -136 (bet $136 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +2.5 (-108) | Heat +2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 225 (O: -110 | U: -110)

76ers at Heat key injuries

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For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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76ers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 118, Heat 112

Moneyline

BET 76ERS (+116).

The Sixers should control this game, and they have the size to do just that.

Since returning from injury, C Bam Adebayo hasn't been as dominant. Adebayo has shot under 50% in all 3 games since he's been back. Miami is just 2-3 ATS over its last 5 games and 3-5 ATS over its last 8. It hasn't covered well at home either.

The Sixers have the dominated lately, winning 3 straight road games and having covered in 3 of their last 4 away from home. Philadelphia is 8-2 ATS over its last 10 games.

Against the spread

BET 76ERS +2.5 (-108).

If you feel a need for a little insurance, the price is not bad.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 225 (-110).

The 76ers have one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA and are 18-9-1 O/U this season. They are 10-3 O/U over the last 30 days. The Sixers have a few elite playmakers that should be able to get loose on a solid Heat defense.

Miami is 15-14 O/U this season and 4-1 O/U over its last 5 games. It has scored at least 115 points in 6 of its last 7 games. That said, back OVER 225 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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