Peach Bowl: Ole Miss vs. Penn State odds, picks and predictions
The No. 11 Ole Miss Rebels (10-2) and No. 10 Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2) meet in Saturday's Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Ole Miss vs. Penn State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Ole Miss picked up back-to-back double-digit wins to end its regular season, finishing the year with a 17-7 win over the Mississippi State Bulldogs as a 9-point favorite. The Rebels did struggle offensively to end the year as they were held to under 20 points in 2 of their last 3 games.
Penn State picked up a 42-0 blowout win vs. the Michigan State Spartans to end its regular season, covering as a 21.5-point favorite. Penn State ended the season averaging 37.2 points per game. The Nittany Lions will be without LB Chop Robinson and TE Theo Johnson, who declared for the NFL Draft.
Ole Miss is No. 11 and Penn State is No. 10 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by Paste BN Sports.
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Ole Miss vs. Penn State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:06 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Ole Miss +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Penn State -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Ole Miss +4.5 (-105) | Penn State -4.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Ole Miss vs. Penn State picks and predictions
Prediction
Penn State 32, Ole Miss 21
Moneyline
PASS.
I like the Nittany Lions to come away with the win here, but they are slightly too heavy of a favorite (-200) to risk betting on. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET PENN STATE -4.5 (-115).
Penn State's massive defensive advantage is what will allow the Nittany Lions to cover here. Penn State is among the best in the nation when it comes to defense, allowing only 11.4 points per game and a nation-best 223.3 yards per game.
The Nittany Lions also covered ATS in 3 of their last 4 games while Ole Miss only covered ATS in 1 of its last 4.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 50.5 (-110).
Both Penn State and Ole Miss are very good offensively as both squads averaged north of 34 PPG this season. Both teams can score via either the rushing or passing attack, and I expect to see a good mix of both for both teams.
This is only a lean because Penn State's defense is good enough to hold the Rebels to under 20 points, and the Rebels did struggle offensively in 2 of their last 3 regular season games.
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