Virginia at Notre Dame odds, picks and predictions
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-7, 0-1 ACC) welcome the Virginia Cavaliers (10-2, 1-0) to Purcell Pavilion Saturday. Tip is set for noon ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Virginia vs. Notre Dame odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
The Fighting Irish beat the Marist Red Foxes 60-56 Dec. 22 in their last game, failing to cover as 5.5-point home favorites. The Irish are 1-3 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last 4 games. They are 5-7 ATS on the season, including 2-5 ATS at home. G Markus Burton is Notre Dame's leading scorer, 16.0 points per game.
The Cavaliers cruised past the Morgan State Bears 79-44 Wednesday, covering as 26.5-point favorites. They are 7-5 ATS on the season but just 1-2 ATS over their last 3. Virginia is 0-1 SU and ATS in true road games and 1-3 ATS in either road or neutral-court battles. G Reece Beekman leads the Cavaliers with 12.9 PPG.
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Virginia at Notre Dame odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:47 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Off the board
- Against the spread (ATS): Virginia -9.5 (-110) | Notre Dame +9.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 115.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Rankings: Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll
Virginia at Notre Dame picks and predictions
Prediction
Virginia 60, Notre Dame 54
Moneyline
PASS.
There's no reason to play the moneyline even if you find one.
Against the spread
LEAN NOTRE DAME +9.5 (-110).
The Fighting Irish have, simply put, been better at home than the Cavaliers have been on the road. Notre Dame is also 3-2 ATS as an underdog. It has covered 5 of its last 9 games.
The Cavaliers are 2-2 SU away from home and 0-2 ATS as a favorite in games not at home. The Cavaliers don't have a player topping 13 points per game and may not have the firepower to pull away.
TAKE NOTRE DAME +9.5 (-110).
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 115.5 (-105).
The Cavaliers are 3-9 O/U and have gone Under in 4 straight games. They have scored 56 or fewer in 2 of their last 3 and are 1-3 O/U in games away from home.
The Fighting Irish are also 3-9 O/U and have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games. They have scored 60 or fewer in 3 of 4 as well. Notre Dame has one player topping double figures, so it doesn't have many high-volume playmakers to go for a bucket.
With those trends in mind, BACK UNDER 115.5 (-105).
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