Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs odds, picks and predictions

Kevin Erickson | Staff Writer

The Cincinnati Bengals (8-7) and Kansas City Chiefs (9-6) meet Sunday for a Week 17 matchup at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Bengals vs. Chiefs odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Bengals were blown out by the Pittsburgh Steelers last week, falling 34-11 on the road. QB Jake Browning has made 5 starts since QB Joe Burrow went out with a season-ending injury. Browning is 0-2 against the Steelers, and 3-0 against everybody else.

Cincinnati also had a 2-0-1 against the spread (ATS) run snapped with the blowout loss in the Steel City. The defense has allowed 24 or more points in 3 of the past 4 games, with the Over cashing in each of the 4 contests. The Over is 6-1 in the past 7 games overall, too.

The Chiefs are in 1st place in the AFC West Division still, but panic has set in with Kansas City having dropped 3 of its past 4 games. The Chiefs have failed to cover each of the past 4 games, too, while the Over has a slight 3-2 edge across the past 5 contests.

The Bengals have won 7 of the past 9 meetings in this series since Dec. 28, 2008, with the Bengals going 5-2 ATS in the past 7 battles. QB Patrick Mahomes topped the Bengals for the just the 2nd time in 5 tries last season in the AFC Championship Game.

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Bengals at Chiefs odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:24 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bengals +235 (bet $100 to win $235) | Chiefs -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Bengals +6.5 (-110) | Chiefs -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Bengals at Chiefs key injuries

Bengals

WR Ja'Marr Chase (shoulder) questionable
CB Jalen Davis (groin) questionable

Chiefs

WR Mecole Hardman (thumb) questionable
RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) questionable
RB Isiah Pacheco (concussion) questionable
CB L'Jarius Sneed (calf) questionable
OT Donovan Smith (neck) out
WR Kadarius Toney (hip) out
CB Joshua Williams (neck) questionable

Bengals at Chiefs picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 24, Bengals 18

Moneyline

The Chiefs (-290) might get the job done at home, as Kansas City tries to finally secure that 10th victory of the season. However, you can't risk nearly 3 times your potential return on a team which has been as erratic as the Chiefs have been lately.

PASS.

Against the spread

The BENGALS +6.5 (-110) are worth playing lightly, as Browning has played well under center against all teams except the Steelers so far.

This would be a much more attractive play if it were a flat 7, or better yet, 7 and a hook. However, the Chiefs -6.5 (-110) have failed to cover the past 4 games overall, while going 0-3 ATS in the past 3 games at Arrowhead.

This is a hugely important game in the AFC playoff picture, and you can expect these 2 rivals to play a very close game, as each try to work out the kinks before the postseason begins.

Over/Under

UNDER 43.5 (-105) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The total has gone low in 2 of the past 3 games for the Chiefs, while the Under is perfect in the past 5 games at Arrowhead, too.

While the Under looks like a slam-dunk play based on the K.C. trends, the Over is 4-0 in the past 4 games for the Bengals, and 6-1 in the past 7 outings overall. The defense has allowed 24 or more pints in 5 of the past 7 games, so be careful.

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