Rose Bowl: Alabama vs. Michigan odds, picks and predictions
The Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1) and Michigan Wolverines (13-0) clash in the 2024 Rose Bowl Game, which is the opening CFP semifinal on New Year's Day. The Monday kickoff in Pasadena is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Alabama vs. Michigan odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Alabama is No. 4 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by Paste BN Sports. The Crimson Tide has won 11 straight games after a 34-24 loss to the Texas Longhorn on Sept. 9. The SEC champions are 5-1 against the spread (ATS) since Oct. 21. UA is looking to get into the CFP National Championship Game for a 7th time in the 10-year history of the event.
No. 1 Michigan, the Big Ten champion, has exhibited a stifling defense which ranks 2nd in the nation in total yards (239.7 per game) and 1st in scoring (9.5 points per game). Across its last 9 games, UM is 7-2 ATS.
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Alabama vs. Michigan odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Alabama +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Michigan -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Alabama +1.5 (-108) | Michigan -1.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Alabama vs. Michigan picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 28, Michigan 24
Moneyline
Alabama is 5-1 in its last 6 neutral-site games.
The recent games for each side -- say, the last month or so of the regular season -- make a compelling case for the shape of the Tide's season. UA is firing on both sides of the ball at a high level, while Michigan's offense has had some stall moments and games.
Both teams are quite good in red-zone situations on both sides of the ball. Alabama perhaps had some wonky scores in its 27-24 wins over Auburn (Nov. 25) and Georgia (Dec. 2). Against the Tigers, Alabama had an off day in finishing drives. Against the Bulldogs, the Tide struggled mightily in converting 3rd downs (3-of-13). But overall, this younger UA squad has a better trajectory of late.
Alabama at +115 or better would be a play with some value. CRIMSON TIDE (+100) is perhaps worth a partial-unit play.
Against the spread
PASS: Would want a +2 or better to provide the relative strength of a ML play.
Over/Under
The Over is 5-1 in UM's last 6 games and 7-2 in UA's last 9.
Saban and bowl-prep time and a little bit of hidden-in-the-surface-stats mojo is on the Tide's side. Consistency, a strong field-position game and a diverse offense are on the Wolverines' side.
Add in a legit lean toward an overtime result, and OVER 44.5 (-115) has moderate value.
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