Penn State at Michigan State odds, picks and predictions
The Michigan State Spartans (8-5, 0-2 Big Ten) welcome the Penn State Nittany Lions (7-6, 1-1) to Breslin Center in East Lansing. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET (Peacock). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Penn State vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
The Spartans beat the Indiana State Sycamores 87-75 Saturday, covering as 8.5-point home favorites. They are 7-6 against the spread (ATS) this season and 4-0 ATS over their last 4. Michigan State is 6-3 ATS at home. It is getting hot, having won 4 in a row. The Spartans are led by G Tyson Walker, who is averaging 20 points per game (PPG).
Penn State beat the Rider Broncs 90-63 Friday, covering as 13.5-point home favorites. It is just 5-8 ATS on the season with most of its struggles coming on the road as it is 0-4 ATS on neutral-court games. It is 2-0 ATS in Big Ten action and 3-2 ATS over its last 5 games. The Nittany Lions are led by G Kanye Clary at 18.2 PPG.
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Penn State at Michigan State odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:03 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Penn State +680 (bet $100 to win $680) | Michigan State -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Penn State +13.5 (-110) | Michigan State -13.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Penn State at Michigan State picks and predictions
Prediction
Michigan State 79, Penn State 71
Moneyline
PASS.
Michigan State is surging, and at home it should come out on top. At -680, it isn't worth a play to win outright.
Against the spread
LEAN PENN STATE +13.5 (-110).
Both teams have covered well lately, but only 1 has covered well in Big Ten games. Penn State is 2-0 ATS in conference play while MSU is 0-2 ATS.
The Spartans have lost both Big Ten games, closing as 4-point or greater favorites. They are 1-4 ATS against Power 5 opponents as well. Penn State is 2-2 ATS against Power 5 foes.
Couple both those trends, and back PENN STATE +13.5 (-110).
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Over/Under
BET OVER 145.5 (-115).
Both teams have been ultra-hot covering Overs as of late. Penn State is 8-5 O/U this season, but has gone Over in 8 of its last 9 games. It has scored 80 or more in 3 of its last 4 and has scored 75 or more in both Big Ten battles. Michigan State is 6-7 O/U, but it has gone Over in 5 straight games, tallying 79 or more in 4 straight games.
Both teams have started to find their offensive rhythm. With each led by a guard who is shooting 47% or better from the field, the efficiency is there for this to continue as well. Back OVER 145.5 (-115).
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