Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The Golden State Warriors (16-17) welcome the Denver Nuggets (24-11) to the Chase Center Thursday. Tip is set for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Nuggets vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Nuggets lead 2-0

The Nuggets have beaten the Warriors twice this season, but are 0-2 against the spread (ATS), failing to cover as a home favorite in both battles.

Denver is coming off a 111-93 win over the Charlotte Hornets Monday, covering as 17-point favorites. It has won 7 of its last 8 and is 5-3 ATS in that span. The Nuggets are led by C Nikola Jokic, who is averaging 25.7 points, 12.3 rebounds and 9.1 assists per game.

The Warriors beat the Orlando Magic 121-115 Tuesday, covering as 3.5-point home favorites. They are 15-17-1 ATS on the season and 4-2-1 ATS over their last 7. Golden State has won 6 of its last 9. It is led by G Stephen Curry, who is averaging 27.6 points per game.

Nuggets at Warriors odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:47 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -142 (bet $142 to win $100) | Warriors +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -3 (-110) | Warriors +3 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Nuggets at Warriors key injuries

Nuggets

Not yet submitted

Warriors

F Draymond Green (suspension) out
G Gary Payton II (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Nuggets at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 119, Warriors 117

Moneyline

PASS.

The Warriors typically show up at home and plus-money is enticing, but taking them on the spread gives a better chance to cash.

Against the spread

LEAN WARRIORS +3 (-110).

Denver has been the 3rd-worst road-covering team in the NBA, having covered just 7 of 18 games away from home. It has failed to cover 3 of its last 5 as well. While Golden State hasn't necessarily been terrific ATS at home, it has covered in both games against Denver and is 5-3-1 ATS over its last 9 games.

The Warriors have the firepower to hang with Denver, and they should have the athleticism to keep them off the glass as well. Back the WARRIORS +3 (-110) to keep this prime-time battle close.

Over/Under

BET OVER 234.5 (-110).

Neither team plays at an ultra-fast pace, but both teams have efficient offenses. The Nuggets rank 7th in offensive rating with the Warriors 13th. Both teams also rank in the top 12 in offensive rebounding rate.

Golden State has gone Over in 19 of 33 games this season and are 8-4 O/U in its last 12 games. It has allowed 120 or more in 2 of its last 4 and have scored 120 or more in 5 of its last 7.

The Nuggets are just 12-22-1 O/U on the season, but they have scored at least 120 in 2 of their last 4 and in 3 of their last 6. The offensive upside is there for both teams, so back OVER 234.5 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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