Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders odds, picks and predictions

Drew Phelps | Staff Writer

The Dallas Cowboys (11-5) face the Washington Commanders (4-12) Sunday. Kickoff at FedExField is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cowboys vs. Commanders odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Cowboys have clinched a playoff spot and can win the NFC East with a victory. They squeaked by in Week 17 over the Detroit Lions 20-19. Dallas failed to cover the spread as a 4.5-point favorite, and the game went way under the total (53). WR CeeDee Lamb caught 13 passes for 227 yards and a TD in the win. The Cowboys have won 6 of their last 8 games to put themselves in position to win the division.

The Commanders are limping to the finish line of the regular season with 7 straight losses. Washington lost 27-10 in Week 17 to the NFC’s top-seeded San Francisco 49ers. It did not cover the spread as a 14-point underdog, and the Under (48.5) hit. QB Sam Howell passed for 169 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 INT. The Commanders have moved up the draft board to where they could clinch the 2nd overall pick in 2024 with a loss to the Cowboys.

Dallas has won 4 of its last 5 outright against Washington. The Cowboys’ average margin of victory in those 4 games is more than 24 points.

Dallas covered as a 13.5-point home favorite with a 45-10 victory in the Nov. 23 meeting as the Over (48) hit.

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Cowboys at Commanders odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 3:55 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cowboys -900 (bet $900 to win $100) | Commanders +610 (bet $100 to win $610)
Against the spread (ATS): Cowboys -13.5 (-104) | Commanders +13.5 (-118)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Cowboys at Commanders key injuries

Cowboys

DE Dorance Armstrong (ankle) questionable
C Tyler Biadasz (illness) questionable
DT Johnathan Hankins (knee/ankle) questionable
S Malik Hooker (ankle/illness) questionable
OG Tyler Smith (foot) questionable

Commanders

DT Jonathan Allen (knee) out
S Kamren Curl (quad) questionable
DE Casey Toohill (shoulder) questionable
RT Andrew Wylie (elbow) questionable

Cowboys at Commanders picks and predictions

Prediction

Cowboys 35, Commanders 10

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Cowboys (-900) will win this game convincingly, but I’m not about to bet a -900. Keep your bets to the spread and total.

Against the spread

BET COWBOYS -13.5 (-104).

The Cowboys are going to beat up on the Commanders Sunday for the following reasons: they can lock up the NFC East and at least 1 home game in the playoffs with a victory, these teams are bitter rivals that have met 127 times, and these franchises and fanbases hate each other. Dallas will look to inflict a little bit of pain onto Washington in Week 18.

The Cowboys have covered against the Commanders in 7 of their last 10 meetings.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 46.5 (-108).

The Under has hit in 4 straight Cowboys games and in 2 of the Commanders' last 3.

Dallas allows fewer than 20 points per game (PPG), but Washington gives up the most PPG in the NFL. The Cowboys will unload against this terrible Commanders secondary, but I don't think Washington will be able to do much of anything against this pass rush.

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