Detroit Pistons at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The Denver Nuggets (25-12) welcome the Detroit Pistons (3-32) to Ball Arena Sunday with tip-off set for 8 p.m. ET. Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Pistons vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Nuggets lead 1-0, winning on the road 107-103 on Nov. 20, but failing to cover as a 9.5-point favorite

The Nuggets are coming off a 122-120 loss Friday to the Orlando Magic, failing to cover as a 10-point home favorite. They are 16-21 against the spread (ATS) on the season and just 2-5 ATS over their last 7. Denver is led by C Nikola Jokic, who is averaging 26.1 points, 11.9 rebounds and 9.1 assists per game.

The Pistons lost to the Golden State Warriors 113-109 Friday, covering as 10.5-point underdogs. They are 15-20 ATS, but have covered in 5 of their last 6 games. Although they have just 15 covers on the season, Detroit has covered in 3 straight games twice this season and could make that 3 times on Sunday. The Pistons are led by G Cade Cunningham, who is averaging 23.4 points per game.

Pistons at Nuggets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:04 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pistons +870 (bet $100 to win $870) | Nuggets -1500 (bet $1,500 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pistons +16.5 (-110) | Nuggets -16.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Pistons at Nuggets key injuries

Pistons

G Monte Morris (quadriceps) out
C Isaiah Stewart (toe) out

Nuggets

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Pistons at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 125, Pistons 114

Moneyline

PASS.

The Pistons have won 1 road game this season, against the Charlotte Hornets. Backing them to come out on top isn't worth the significant risk here.

Against the spread

LEAN PISTONS +16.5 (-110).

As one can see, Detroit hasn't won often this season, but it has covered well as of late. It has covered in 5 of its last 6 and is 4-3 ATS in its last 7 games as a double-figure underdog. The Pistons have covered 3 of their last 4 on the road as well.

On the flip side, Denver has struggled as of late, and it is just 16-21 ATS on the season. It is 2-3 ATS in its last 5 home games and 2-5 ATS in its last 7. The Nuggets are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games as a double-digit favorite.

Back the trends and take PISTONS +16.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 235.5 (-110).

The Pistons have the 27th-best defensive rating while the Nuggets sit 7th in offensive rating. Couple that with the Pistons desire to run, sitting 7th in pace, and this should be a high-tempo game without much defense. Detroit is 22-13 O/U on the season and has gone Over in 6 of its last 7. It has scored 120 or more in 3 of its last 5.

The Nuggets are 14-22-1 O/U, but have gone Over in 3 of their last 5 and have scored 120 or more in the 3 times the Over hit. Against a lousy Pistons defense, Denver should be able to score with ease.

With that in mind, back OVER 235.5 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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