Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle | Staff Writer

The Dallas Mavericks (21-15) welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves (25-9) to American Airlines Center Sunday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Timberwolves vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Timberwolves lead 2-0

The Mavericks have lost to Minnesota both at home (119-101 on Dec. 14) and on the road (118-110 on Dec. 28) and 1-1 against the spread (ATS) in those losses. Dallas is coming off a 139-103 win Friday over the Portland Trail Blazers, covering as a 7-point home favorite. It is 20-16 ATS on the season and 4-1 ATS over its last 5. The Mavs are led by G Luka Doncic, who averages 33.7 points, 8.3 rebounds and 9.3 assists per game.

The Timberwolves beat the Houston Rockets on the road 122-95 on Friday, covering as a 4-point road favorite. They are 17-17 ATS, but just 1-5 ATS over their last 6 games. Minnesota is 5-4 ATS over its last 9 road games, having covered in each win and failing to cover in each loss. It is led by G Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 26.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game.

Timberwolves at Mavericks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves -138 (bet $138 to win $100) | Mavericks +118 (bet $100 to win $118)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -2.5 (-110) | Mavericks +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Timberwolves at Mavericks key injuries

Timberwolves

None

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (ankle) questionable
G Dante Exum (plantar fascia) out
F Maxi Kleber (toe) out
F Grant Williams (ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 118, Mavericks 114

Moneyline

PASS.

This spread seems to assume Doncic will miss the game, and his presence will be huge. Avoid a moneyline play on the home side with his status unknown. Minnesota is slightly too expensive to play here as well.

Against the spread

LEAN TIMBERWOLVES -2.5 (-114).

Whether on the road or at home, Minnesota has had Dallas' number. Much of that success can be put on the size advantage and how Minnesota can defend. It has allowed Dallas just 105.5 points per game in the 2 matchups. The Wolves have scored 118 or more in both.

They have a number of capable playmakers, which is more than Dallas can say, especially if Doncic sits. Minnesota has covered in 2 of its last 4 road games and in both games against Dallas.

Take TIMBERWOLVES -2.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 230.5 (-110).

If there's one thing both teams have been able to consistently do, it is score, and the Mavs have proven they can do just that with out without Doncic. They have scored 126 or more in 2 straight games and 125 or more in 3 of their last 4. Dallas is 21-15 O/U on the season.

Minnesota has gone Over in 2 straight as well and is 18-16 O/U. The T-wolves have an efficient offense and rank 6th in true shooting percentage (59.6%). Expect a high-scoring game and back OVER 230.5 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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