SMU at Memphis odds, picks and predictions
The SMU Mustangs (10-4, 1-0 AAC) and Memphis Tigers (12-2, 1-0) meet Sunday afternoon in American Athletic Conference action. Tip time at the FedExForum is 5 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the SMU vs. Memphis odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Southern Methodist sports the 2nd-best defensive scoring average in the AAC (61.6 points per game), and that defense was on display in the Mustangs' last game. SMU defeated the Charlotte Miners 66-54 on Tuesday (covering a -7.5) to win its 4th consecutive game. The Mustangs have not suffered an against-the-spread (ATS) setback since Nov. 29.
The Tigers, tabbed 15th in thePaste BN Sports Coaches Poll, get by more with offense, but UM was nearly 3-balled to death when Tulsa drilled a dozen from distance the last time Memphis played (Thursday on the road). The Tigers failed to cover a 9-point spread in a 78-75 win. UM let a 10-point lead evaporate before pulling out the game on a Jahvon Quinerly 3-pointer with 4 seconds left.
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SMU at Memphis odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: SMU +235 (bet $100 to win $235) | Memphis -295 (bet $295 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): SMU +6.5 (-102) | Memphis -6.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
SMU at Memphis picks and predictions
Prediction
Memphis 79, SMU 73
Moneyline
The Tigers are a veteran squad and a tough on their home floor. They have also played much the tougher schedule. They are worthy of near -300 money but there's not anything to do with that price. PASS.
Against the spread
This match-up pits slow-temp Southern Methodist against a quick-pace Tigers team. Memphis is a would-be lean around -4 or -5. But UM has filed a pair of ATS losses against slow teams in its last 3 games, and the ask here is too high.
PASS.
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Over/Under
The Over is 5-1 in UM's home games. The Overs include the 2 games mentioned above, ATS losses against Vanderbilt (Dec. 23) and Austin Peay (Dec. 30). Memphis controlled the pace in both; the Over cashed in both.
Look for a decent amount of near-proximity buckets, points off turnovers, rebound-put-backs and UM free throws.
Consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 147.5 (-115).
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