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Wild Card first look: Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs odds and lines


The Miami Dolphins (11-6) and Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) meet Saturday for an AFC Wild Card matchup. Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is set for 8 p.m. ET (Peacock). Below, we look at Dolphins vs. Chiefs odds from BetMGM Sportsbook before making our expert NFL picks and predictions later in the week.

Miami lost 21-14 to the Buffalo Bills in Week 18 as a 2.5-point underdog. The loss bumped the Dolphins down from the AFC 2 seed to the 6 seed. The Dolphins have lost back-to-back games, both against AFC playoff opponents, and have failed to cover against the spread (ATS) in back-to-back games.

Kansas City was already locked into the 3 seed prior to its Week 18 matchup vs. the Los Angeles Chargers, so many starters saw little, or no, playing time. The Chiefs were still able to pick up the 13-12 win, covering as a 3-point underdog while the Under (35.5) hit. Kansas City has now back-to-back games and is 3-1 in its last 4 overall. The Chiefs have also covered ATS in consecutive games.

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Dolphins at Chiefs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dolphins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Chiefs -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +3.5 (-110) | Chiefs -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

2023 betting stats

  • ML: Dolphins 11-6 | Chiefs 11-6
  • ATS: Dolphins 10-7 | Chiefs 9-8
  • O/U: Dolphins 9-8 | Chiefs 5-12

Dolphins vs. Chiefs head-to-head

Kansas City jumped out to a 21-0 lead by halftime in its Week 9 matchup with Miami in Germany, but Miami did bounce back. The Dolphins scored 14 unanswered points in the 3rd quarter, but neither team scored in the 4th as the Chiefs came away with the 21-14 victory.

The all-time series is tied 16-16, but Kansas City has beaten Miami in each of the last 4 meetings dating back to September of 2014. These squads have met in the AFC Wild Card twice, with Kansas City losing both times. They have not met in the playoffs since 1994.

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