Houston Rockets at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Ryan Dodson | Staff Writer

The Houston Rockets (18-16) take on the Miami Heat (20-15) Monday with tip-off from Kaseya Center set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Rockets vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Heat won 2-0 last season

The Rockets stunned the Milwaukee Bucks 112-108 Saturday as 7-point underdogs. Seven players scored in double figures, led by C Alperen Sengun, who had 21 points and 11 rebounds. The Rockets have won 3 of 4 and have been a darling for bettors with a 21-12-1 record ATS.

The Heat fell to the Phoenix Suns 113-97 Friday and have now lost 3 of 4. F Jimmy Butler (foot) will miss his 4th straight game Monday. C Bam Adebayo has been a monster in Butler's absence with double-doubles in 6 of 7 games. He's averaging 22.5 PPG and 12.3 RPG over the last 6 games.

Rockets at Heat odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:57 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rockets +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Heat -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Rockets +4.5 (-115) | Heat -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Rockets at Heat key injuries

Rockets

G Dillon Brooks (oblique) out
F Tari Eason (leg) out

Heat

F Jimmy Butler (foot) out
G Caleb Martin (ankle) doubtful

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Rockets at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 103, Rockets 97

Moneyline

The Rockets are a solid defensive team, and they are catching the Heat at the right time. However, this is why I'm fading them. They just finished a stretch of 10 games with 9 of them at home. They went 5-5 during the stretch and are just 3-10 on the road this season. This is the beginning of a 6-game road trip for Houston.

PASS on the -165 for the Heat and look to the spread.

Against the spread

The Heat have struggled to cover consistently at home at 5-10, but this is a miniscule amount of points to lay. The Heat have won 6 of 10, and 5 of them cleared this spread. With Houston's struggles on the road and having spent so much time eating home cooking, take the HEAT -4.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Both matchups last season went Under this total. The Heat are 4-6 O/U over the last 10, and the Rockets are 5-5. Both teams are tied for 23rd at 112.5 PPG. With Butler out and the focus on Adebayo in the paint, take the UNDER 218.5 (-105).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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