Texas at Cincinnati odds, picks and predictions
The Texas Longhorns (11-3, 0-1 Big 12) and Cincinnati Bearcats (12-2, 1-0) meet Tuesday. The opening tipoff at Fifth Third Arena will be at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Texas vs. Cincinnati odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Texas last played Saturday, dropping a 78-67 decision against Texas Tech as a 6.5-point home favorite. The loss snapped a 5-game win streak that saw the Longhorns register an average winning margin over 20 points. UT fell out of the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll; it was tabbed 22nd last week.
Cincinnati won at BYU Saturday. The Bearcats took down the Cougars 71-60 to cover a +10. UC is 10-0 at home, though it did fall to Dayton in a semi-home game Dec. 16 at the Heritage Bank Center in Cincinnati.
– Rankings courtesy of the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll.
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Texas at Cincinnati odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:45 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Texas +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Cincinnati -235 (bet $235 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texas +5.5 (-110) | Cincinnati -5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Texas at Cincinnati picks and predictions
Prediction
Cincinnati 76, Texas 74
Moneyline
PASS: Texas is a lean, but we should want more return in a tough contest on the road.
Against the spread
After its last 14 Big 12 losses, Texas has gone 9-5 ATS the next time out.
Both teams have mostly been confounding ATS bettors over the last month. Neither has played an impressive schedule so far, so there are not a whole lot of comps to offer up when looking at matchups. But the Longhorns are particularly adept at defending inside and along the perimeter. Those 2 defensive strengths will take them a long way toward keeping this game even down the stretch.
Cincinnati G CJ Fredrick is out with a hamstring injury. He's a key veteran and distributor for the Bearcats (while averaging 7.5 points per game).
This one sets up with recency bias on both sides shading things too far 1 way.
TAKE TEXAS +5.5 (-110).
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Over/Under
The last 6 times UT has been a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points, the Over has gone 5-1. The Over is 6-2 across the last 8 Cincinnati home games where the total is 145-149.5.
Expect a moderate pace but enough point spiral from distance (and in close and in general, avoidance of bad looks) and from put-backs to edge this final score just past the listed total. The Bearcats are the faster team, and there is a better chance they are chasing late than what shows in the spread.
The lean here is slight. Consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 146.5 (-110).
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