Washington vs. Michigan: Best CFP National Championship Game player props
We're down to the final game of the season as the Washington Huskies (14-0) and the Michigan Wolverines (14-0) meet in the CFP National Championship Game Monday at NRG Stadium in Houston. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN).
The game will be played indoors, so no need to worry about weather being a factor.
Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's CFP National Championship Game odds and lines, and tab the best prop bets to cash in on among SportbookWire's college football picks and predictions.
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CFP National Championship Game prop bet picks and predictions
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:12 a.m. ET.
Washington RB Dillon Johnson ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN (+114)
Johnson scored 16 rushing TDs in the Huskies' 14 games, including 2 TD runs in the Sugar Bowl win over Texas as well as 2 TDs vs. Oregon in the Pac-12 Championship Game.
In fact, Johnson has scored at least once in 3 straight games and in 6 of the past 7 outings. He was only held out of the end zone in 3 games this season. While facing the Michigan defense will certainly be a step up in difficulty for Johnson and the Huskies, he is the best bet to score for the Dawgs.
Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy OVER 225+ (+172) alternate passing yards
The Huskies have a pretty decent rushing defense, as they allow 137.1 yards per game, which ranks 41st in the nation according to Covers.com. However, Washington's Achilles' heel was the pass defense that allowed 267.1 yards per game through the air.
McCarthy wasn't prolific for most of the season, passing for just 2,851 yards through 14 games. His 221-yard performance against Alabama in the Rose Bowl, which included overtime, was his 1st game over 200 yards since he threw for a season-high 335 yards 5 games earlier against Purdue back on Nov. 4.
McCarthy should be able to post slightly better numbers vs. the Huskies than he did against the Crimson Tide, although we won't see anything near what he did against the Boilermakers.
The regular player prop has his passing total set at 199.5 yards (Over: -114 | Under: -114). The alternate line of 200+ (-112) might be good if you're more conservative. If you're a little more bold, the alternate line of 250+ (+300) pays 3.7 to 1 if it hits.
Washington WR Rome Odunze UNDER 89.5 receiving yards (-114)
Odunze has rolled up some amazing receiving totals, hitting triple-digit yardage totals in 5 consecutive outings. He went for 125 receiving yards on 6 receptions in the Sugar Bowl against Texas, and he has 10 games with 102 or more receiving yards in 14 outings this season.
Odunze and QB Michael Penix Jr. have quite an impressive rapport. The two have connected at least 5 times in 13 of 14 outings. However, while I don't expect Washington's pass offense to totally fold against Michigan's pass defense, I also don't see Odunze and Penix Jr. operating with impunity.
Michigan's pass defense ranked No. 2 in the nation, allowing just 150.0 yards per game. The Wolverines are likely to give Odunze the best coverage he has seen all season, and it wouldn't be surprising to see Michigan choose to double cover him, challenging Washington WRS Jalen McMillan and Ja'Lynn Polk to beat them instead.
Polk had 1,122 receiving yards with 9 TDs, so he's no slouch. In fact, if you're with me on Odunze getting doubled, and going Under, Polk is a solid value at OVER 53.5 receiving yards (-114).
Washington LB Bralen Trice TO NOT RECORD A SACK (-122)
Trice got off to a bit of a slow start this season, going without a sack in each of his first 4 games. He only had 1 sack through the first 7 games. However, he had 1.5 sacks in a win at Stanford in late October, and he ended up with 6 sacks in the final 7 games, including 2 sacks against Texas in the Sugar Bowl.
While that's all well and good, Michigan has done a great job protecting the quarterback. Alabama didn't sack McCarthy in the Sugar Bowl, and Ohio State was only able to record a single sack in the regular-season finale. Iowa did get to McCarthy 4 times in the Big Ten Championship Game, but the Hawkeyes defense was really god.
Michigan should be able to keep Trice at bay.
Michigan PK James Turner UNDER 7.5 POINTS (-132)
The Wolverines will get the job done and win the national title, scoring plenty of points against a leaky Huskies pass defense. Expect Michigan to score more TDs than field goals.
Turner was held to just 3 points in the Rose Bowl against Alabama, and he missed a field goal. While he had 14 points in the Big Ten title game vs. Iowa, that was against a shutdown Hawkeyes defense, so the Wolverines settled for plenty of field-goal opportunities.
Turner has managed 7 or fewer points in 4 of the past 7 games, and he has just 10 field goals in those past 7 games.
Go UNDER 7.5 POINTS (-132) and feel confidently doing so.
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