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Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions


The Memphis Grizzlies (13-23) take on the Dallas Mavericks (22-15) Monday with tip-off from American Airlines Center set for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Grizzlies vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Dallas leads 2-1

The Grizzlies enter on a 2-game winning streak, beating the Phoenix Suns and Los Angeles Lakers on the road. The Grizz were 8- and 4-point underdogs in those matchups. Onto the bad news, the Grizzlies lost G Ja Morant for the rest of the season as he'll undergo surgery to repair a subluxation in his shoulder.

The Mavs have won 3 in a row after a 115-108 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves Sunday. G Kyrie Irving and G Luka Doncic combined for 69 points in that one. Dallas has taken 2 of 3 meetings this season, and the 1 Memphis won was a game Doncic missed.

Grizzlies at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Mavericks -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +8.5 (-110) | Mavericks -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Grizzlies at Mavericks key injuries

Grizzlies

  • F Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) questionable
  • G Ja Morant (shoulder) out
  • G Derrick Rose (thigh) out

Mavericks

  • G Luka Doncic(ankle) probable
  • G Dante Exum (heel) out
  • F Maxi Kleber (toe) out
  • C Dereck Lively II (ankle) out
  • F Grant Williams (ankle) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Grizzlies at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 120, Grizzlies 98

Moneyline

The loss of Morant essentially signals this is going to be a reboot year. That's going to be a blow to the psyche, and the Mavs will sniff blood and put the pedal to the medal. That said, there's no value in the ML here.

PASS and look to the spread.

Against the spread

It's a big spread here, but the 1 instance Doncic played against the Morant-less Grizzlies, the final result was a 125-110 Dallas cover. Doncic and Irving are on fire, and they'll take advantage of the snake-bitten Grizzlies.

Take the MAVERICKS -8.5 (-110).

Over/Under

This is a big number -- the highest of the season for this matchup. Clearly, the books expect a Mavericks rout. The Over is just 3-7 in the last 10 meetings between the clubs, and Dallas is 3-7 O/U in their last 10 as well. I don't see the firepower for Memphis to keep up.

LEAN UNDER 234.5 (-110).

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