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Penn State at Purdue odds, picks and predictions


The No. 1 Purdue Boilermakers (14-2, 3-2 Big Ten) welcome the Penn State Nittany Lions (8-8, 2-3) to Mackey Arena Saturday. Tip is set for 2:15 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Penn State vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Purdue is No. 1 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll. The Boilermakers may drop though as they lost to the Nebraska Cornhuskers 88-72 on the road Tuesday, failing to cover as 7.5-point favorites. They are 10-5-1 against the spread (ATS) on the season but 1-3 ATS over their last 4. Purdue is 2-3 ATS in conference games as well. It is led in scoring by C Zach Edey, who is averaging 21.8 points per game (PPG).

The Nittany Lions lost at home to the Northwestern Wildcats 76-72 Wednesday, failing to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. They are 6-10 ATS on the season and 2-5 ATS in either road or neutral-court games. Penn State is 3-2 ATS in Big Ten action. It is led by G Kanye Clary, who is averaging 18.8 PPG.

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Penn State at Purdue odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Penn State +1280 (bet $100 to win $1,280) | Purdue -3500 (bet $3,500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Penn State +18.5 (-110) | Purdue -18.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)

Penn State at Purdue picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 86, Penn State 72

Moneyline

PASS.

There's no value here either way. Avoid a moneyline play.

Against the spread

LEAN PENN STATE +18.5 (-110).

Penn State isn't great, sitting with an 8-8 record, but it isn't this bad. While it does have a 31-point road loss to Michigan State, it has beaten Ohio State and Michigan, taken Maryland to overtime and lost by 4 to Northwestern. It is 3-2 ATS in conference play and 3-1 ATS as an underdog of 3 or greater in Big Ten action. It is 3-3 ATS as an underdog.

Purdue has failed to cover in 2 straight games and is 1-3 ATS in its last 4. It is 2-3 ATS against Bit Ten foes. It should win with ease, but coming off a 16-point loss and having scored 72 or fewer in 2 of its last 3, avoid a play for Purdue here.

Back PENN STATE +18.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

BET OVER 151.5 (-118).

If there's 1 thing both teams like to do, it is run and score points. Penn State has managed at least 70 in all but 2 games and has scored 75 or more in 3 of 5 Big Ten games. It is 10-6 O/U on the season.

Purdue is 11-5 O/U and has gone Over in 2 straight games. It has gone Over in 5 of its last 7 as well, scoring at least 80 in 5 of those and at least 90 in 3. It has a potent offense and should be able to find its rhythm again.

Take OVER 151.5 (-118).

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