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San Diego State at New Mexico odds, picks and predictions


The San Diego State Aztecs (14-2, 3-0 Mountain West) and New Mexico Lobos (13-3, 1-2)  clash in a Saturday matinee in Albuquerque. The opening tipoff at The Pit will be at 2 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the San Diego State vs. New Mexico odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

San Diego State has defeated Gonzaga, St. Mary's and Washington -- all away from home -- and is ranked No. 19 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll. In their last game (Tuesday), the Aztecs failed to cover a 10-point spread but won at San Jose State 81-78 to earn their 7th straight victory.

New Mexico plays a fast-tempo style of ball, and its 82.3 points per game rank in the nation's top-40. UNM, which has lost 4 of its last 5 to SDSU, also last played Tuesday. The Lobos were upset (as a -2) 83-73 at UNLV.

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San Diego State at New Mexico odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: San Diego State +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | New Mexico -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): San Diego State +3.5 (-110) | New Mexico -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 150.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

San Diego State at New Mexico picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 76, New Mexico 75

Moneyline

The Aztecs have won 4 of the last 5 in this series, and SDSU looked very sharp in recent games up until its last one. San Diego State would is great play at +140. After increasing from +120 Saturday morning, this is now a play.

Take SAN DIEGO STATE +140.

Against the spread

The Aztecs are 26-18 ATS across their last 44 MWC games. They are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 games of this series.

San Diego State has played much the better schedule, and its performances against KenPom top-75 types so far is compelling.

But the lean here does not make for a ton of value. New Mexico is a veteran team, and the Lobos have a big-time home-barn advantage.

Consider a partial-unit play on the AZTECS +3.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

This match-up presents a clash of styles with relatively deliberate SDSU facing up-tempo New Mexico.

The analysis components of how this one plays out present a mixed back. A total a field goal below or above 150 is a solid approximation, so there is no leverage here. Don't force it. STEER CLEAR.

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