Nevada at San Diego State odds, picks and predictions
The Nevada Wolf Pack (15-2, 2-1 Mountain West) and San Diego State Aztecs (14-3, 3-1) meet Wednesday at Viejas Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 11 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Nevada vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
The Wolf Pack head to SoCal looking to bounce back after a disappointing 64-56 loss at home to Boise State on Friday. Nevada lost that one outright as a 6.5-point favorite, and it is 0-2 against the spread (ATS) after a 6-0 ATS run. The Under has cashed in 4 in a row for Nevada and 8 of the past 9 outings.
The Aztecs are also in bounce-back mode after getting drummed 88-70 at New Mexico, snapping a 7-game win streak. San Diego State has also failed to cover the past 2 games after a 4-0 ATS win streak. The Under has a slight 5-4 edge across the past 9 outings.
These teams split last season, with the home team winning each game outright. Nevada won the most recent meeting 75-66 on Jan. 31, 2023, in Reno, halting a 9-game skid in the series. The Wolf Pack are still a healthy 6-0-1 ATS in the past 7 meetings.
San Diego State is No. 24 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll.
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Nevada at San Diego State odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nevada +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | San Diego State -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nevada +6.5 (-115) | San Diego State -6.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Nevada at San Diego State picks and predictions
Prediction
San Diego State 74, Nevada 69
Moneyline
San Diego State (-260) is much too expensive, costing over 2½ times your potential return. That's way too much risk, and not enough value, especially against a Nevada (+210) team with just 2 losses on the season. This is a conference tilt which really could go either way, although the Aztecs have won 9 of the past 10 meetings.
PASS.
Against the spread
NEVADA +6.5 (-115) is a big number for this series. The Wolf Pack have been running hot, going 6-2 ATS in the past 8 games while cashing in 11 of 16 outings on the season. And while the Pack have just 1 win in this series in nearly 5 full calendar years, Nevada has an amazing 6-0-1 ATS mark in the past 7 encounters.
San Diego State -6.5 (-105) has failed to cover the past 2 games, and it is just 3-2 ATS in the past 5 games at home.
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Over/Under
OVER 141.5 (-115) is the way to go in this Mountain West tilt, but go lightly.
The Over has hit in the past 2 games for San Diego State, with the Aztecs allowing 83.0 PPG in those games. The defense has been on point most of the season, and it has allowed 62 or fewer points in each of the past 6 home games, so be careful not to get too carried away.
Nevada's offense managed just 56 points in the loss at home to Boise State, so that was rather alarming. And this team has cashed the Under in 4 in a row and 8 of the past 9. However, when these teams get together, we often see fireworks. The Over has cashed in 3 straight meetings while going 5-2-1 in the past 8 battles.
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