Indiana Pacers at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and predictions

Kevin Erickson | Staff Writer

The Indiana Pacers (23-17) and Sacramento Kings (23-17) meet Thursday at Golden 1 Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Pacers vs. Kings odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; split last season 1-1

The Pacers saw leading scorer G Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring) leave with an injury in the win over the Boston Celtics on Jan. 8. Indiana topped Washington and Atlanta in the following 2 games, but the Pacers have dropped the past 2 outings in Denver and Utah.

Indiana, which leads the NBA with 125.6 points per game (PPG), has managed just 112 or fewer points in 3 of the past 4 games since Haliburton went down. He is the team's leading scorer with 23.6 PPG.

On Tuesday, the Kings blew a 109-87 lead with 8:10 to go in regulation on the road against the Phoenix Suns. While Sacramento picked up the cover as a 4.5-point underdog, the Suns won 119-117 in an amazing comeback. Sacramento has dropped 3 in a row, but the Kings are 4-1 ATS in the past 5 outings. The Under has hit in 3 of the past 4 games overall, too.

Pacers at Kings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pacers +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Kings -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +7.5 (-110) | Kings -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 248.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Pacers at Kings key injuries

Pacers

G Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring) questionable
G Bennedict Mathurin (ankle) questionable
G Aaron Nesmith (shin) questionable

Kings

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Pacers at Kings picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 119, Pacers 109

Moneyline

The Kings (-300) will cost you 3 times your potential return, and that's way too much risk for not enough reward.

While the Pacers (+240) are banged up and missing their leading scorer for a while, you can't risk $100 on Sacramento for just $33.33 in return.

PASS.

Against the spread

The KINGS -7.5 (-110) are a solid play at home against the shorthanded Pacers +7.5 (-110).

Sacramento has cashed against the number in 4 of the past 5 games overall while covering in 4 of the past 5 games against Eastern Conference teams, too.

Indiana's offense has tailed off tremendously since Haliburton went down, and it cannot be trusted against a solid opponent at home if he's out.

Over/Under

The UNDER 248.5 (-110) is the best play on the board, and it's not even close. I'd go at this one rather aggressively.

The Pacers offense has been 1 of the top units in the NBA, but they're averaging just 113.0 PPG in the past 4 games since Haliburton went down, which is well short of the team's NBA-leading scoring average of 125.6 PPG. Indiana has hit the Under in each of those 4 games without the injured guard.

The Kings have hit the Under in 3 of the past 4 games overall while allowing 119 or fewer points in those 3 Under results.

The books have set this line as if the Indiana offense is hitting on all cylinders. It's not. Take advantage.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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