Memphis Grizzlies at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Kevin Erickson | Staff Writer

The Memphis Grizzlies (15-25) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (29-11) meet Thursday at Target Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Timberwolves lead 2-0

The Grizzlies picked up a 116-107 win against the Golden State Warriors last time out on Monday, winning outright as 7.5-point underdogs as the Under (226.5) connected. Since G Ja Morant went down with a season-ending shoulder injury Jan. 5, Memphis has still managed to keep its head above water with 3 wins in the past 5 games. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games.

The Timberwolves have posted 3 straight victories, including a 109-105 win over the Los Angeles Clippers as 1-point underdogs on Sunday. Minnesota has covered 4 of the past 5 games while the Under has hit in 4 of the past 6 outings.

Minnesota won the 1st 2 meetings, both in Memphis, while covering each outing as a favorite. The Timberwolves have won both games by at least 22 points, with an average margin of victory of 23.0 points per game.

Grizzlies at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Timberwolves -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +12.5 (-105) | Timberwolves -12.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Grizzlies at Timberwolves key injuries

Grizzlies

G Desmond Bane (ankle) out
G Ja Morant (shoulder) out
G Derrick Rose (hamstring) out
G Marcus Smart (finger) out

Timberwolves

Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Grizzlies at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 116, Grizzlies 102

Moneyline

The Timberwolves (-800) will cost you 8 times your potential return, and that's way too much risk and not enough return. In fact, if you were to risk $100, the winnings would be just $12.50.

However, you can't trust the Grizzlies (+550), especially on the road. Minnesota has handled them rather handily in 2 games this season, both on the banks of the Mississippi River.

PASS.

Against the spread

The TIMBERWOLVES -12.5 (-115) are worth playing as double-digit favorites.

The Grizzlies +12.5 (-105) have been a double-digit underdog 3 times this season, failing to cash in the past 2 instances.

Minnesota failed to cover as a double-digit favorite in Detroit last time out, winning 124-117 as a 12.5-point favorite. There is risk, as the Wolves are just 1-4 ATS when favored by 10 or more points. However, Minnesota has won and covered both meetings with Memphis this season.

Over/Under

The UNDER 214.5 (-115) is a strong play on Thursday night.

The total has gone high in 2 of the past 4 games for the T'Wolves, but the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 outings overall.

For Memphis, the Under has hit in 3 of the past 4 games while going 7-3 in the previous 10 outings. The Grizz have picked up the pace defensively since Ja went down, allowing 107 or fewer points in 3 of the previous 4 outings.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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