Baylor at Texas odds, picks and predictions
The Texas Longhorns (12-5, 1-3 Big 12) welcome the No. 9 Baylor Bears (14-3, 3-1) to Moody Center Saturday. Tip is set for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Baylor vs. Texas odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
The Longhorns lost to the UCF Knights 77-71 Wednesday, failing to cover as an 8.5-point favorite. Texas has covered in just 5 of 17 games this season and is just 1-3 ATS in conference play. The Longhorns have lost both home conference games outright. They are led by G Max Abmas, who is averaging 17.8 points per game.
Baylor is No. 9 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll. The Bears lost to the Kansas State Wildcats 68-64 on the road Tuesday, failing to cover as a 1-point underdog. They are 10-5-1 against the spread (ATS) this season and 4-2 ATS over their last 6. Baylor is 2-2- ATS in conference games. It is led by F Ja'Kobe Walter, who is averaging 28 points per game.
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Baylor at Texas odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Baylor +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Texas -132 (bet $132 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Baylor +1.5 (-102) | Texas -1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Baylor at Texas picks and predictions
Prediction
Baylor 71, Texas 69
Moneyline
BET BAYLOR (+110).
The Longhorns have struggled immensely over the last few weeks. They are 1-3 in Big 12 play and have lost 2 of those games at home to unranked teams. They are facing a solid Baylor beat following a 6-point loss to UCF and a 3-point loss to West Virginia.
The Longhorns just haven't shown the consistency against top-tier sides, also losing to ranked teams like Marquette and UConn. They have yet to beat a ranked side.
The Bears have taken down BYU and Cincinnati in their last 3 games, also having a road conference win over Oklahoma State. Baylor also beat Auburn earlier in the season. It has the more competent side and should be able to win on the road. Back BAYLOR (+110).
Against the spread
PASS.
The Baylor moneyline is better than its juiced spread, especially considering how Texas has been playing. Back the Bears on the moneyline here.
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 146.5 (-105).
The Bears have played defense well lately. They have held 4 straight to opponents to 72 or fewer and have scored more than 75 in just 1 of 4 Big 12 battles. Baylor is 0-4 O/U in Big 12 action.
Texas is 4-0 O/U in Big 12 action yet neither it nor its opponent has yet to top 80 in a game, so it has barely been clearing the Over. The Longhorns have gone Under 75 in all 4 conference matchups and have scored fewer than 72 in 2 of the 4.
Take UNDER 146.5 (-105).
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