Pitt at Duke odds, picks and predictions
The Pitt Panthers (10-7, 1-5 ACC) and Duke Blue Devils (13-3, 4-1) meet Saturday night in Durham. The opening tipoff at Cameron Indoor Stadium will be at 8 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Pitt vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Pitt has lost back-to-back games and 4 of its last 5. After falling 69-58 (as a -7) to Syracuse Tuesday, the Panthers dropped to 1-5 against the spread since Dec. 20. Over that stretch, Pitt has shot just 37% from the floor and 26.7% from 3-point range.
Duke is ranked No. 6 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll. The Blue Devils have been off since suffering a bit of a scare against Georgia Tech last Saturday. Favored by 17.5, Duke was down 10 inside the 15-minute mark and led by just 1 inside the 3-minute mark. The Devils prevailed to win their 8th in a row.
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Pitt at Duke odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Pitt +680 (bet $100 to win $680) | Duke -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Pitt +12.5 (-102) | Duke -12.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Pitt at Duke picks and predictions
Prediction
Duke 80, Pitt 69
Moneyline
Pitt is a lean in principle. The Panthers +900 would be a decent play, but that price is clearly locked up in the hold. STEER CLEAR.
Against the spread
Pittsburgh has played a slate of tough offenses so far, so its defense may be a bit better than what shows in surface stats. The Panthers are a slow-tempo 5 that is responsible in half-court defense where Duke does a lot of damage. Pitt defends the 3 well and shoots a ton from distance. A decent night from the perimeter and the Panthers can make this contest a single-digit affair.
Still, Duke has a talent edge, does not make dumb mistakes and is more-than-capable on the defensive glass. The last 6 meetings in this series have netted a 3-3 ATS split. The last 10 have resulted in a 5-5 split.
The lean is on Pitt, but by a tiny margin. Consider a PANTHERS +12.5 (-102) play but on a partial-unit basis.
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Over/Under
The Over in Pitt road games is 3-0. The Over is Duke home games is 7-3. The last 6 games of this series have witnessed 5 Overs.
And that's the best play in this Saturday ACC tilt. These squads met just 11 days ago in Pittsburgh, and the Under hit on a 145.5 in a 75-53 triumph by the visiting Devils. But Duke piled up 48 points in the 1st half of that game and at one point led by 34. Only an end-of-the-bench exchange slowed things down in the 2nd.
Expect a more representative performance from he Panthers in this game. Look for the visitors to be sped up a bit on road hardwood and for a decent number of triples.
The OVER 141.5 (-115) is a strong play with good leverage .
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