New Mexico at San Jose State odds, picks and predictions
The New Mexico Lobos (16-3, 4-2 Mountain West) and San Jose State Spartans (8-10, 1-4) tussle Wednesday. Tipoff at Provident Credit Union Event Center will be at 11 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the New Mexico vs. San Jose State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
New Mexico, ranked No. 25 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll, has been covering spreads by big margins of late, leveraging a break-neck tempo and a smothering defense to bury opponents. The Lobos are 3-0 straight up and against the spread (ATS) over their last 3 games. Their average margin of cover in that span has been 9.7 points.
San Jose State is back on the hardwood after a 7-day layoff. The Spartans last played Jan. 16 when they lost 85-82 at Fresno State, pushing as 3-point underdogs. SJSU plays more of a slow-down style but has struggled on defense. The Spartans have allowed a 35.8% mark from 3-point range (294th in NCAA-I) and a big percentage of close 2-point looks.
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New Mexico at San Jose State odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at noon ET.
- Moneyline: New Mexico -410 (bet $410 to win $100) | San Jose State +315 (bet $100 to win $315)
- Against the spread (ATS): New Mexico -8.5 (-110) | San Jose State +8.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 155.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
New Mexico at San Jose State picks and predictions
Prediction
New Mexico 80, San Jose State 75
Moneyline
Neither price is attractive here. MOVE ALONG.
Against the spread
UNM is 4-13 ATS in its last road 17 games lined with a total between 155-159.5. SJSU is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 against teams that average 77 or more points per game.
The Lobos are a squad with a big home-court advantage which has stumbled 3 times on the road. That includes a Jan. 9 setback by 10 points at KenPom No. 103 UNLV.
The Spartans, who are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against UNM, are efficient enough on offense and solid in avoiding turnovers -- a big key against a ball-hawking Lobos defense. SJSU shoots a ton of 3s and has notched a robust 38.6% conversion rate from distance since Dec. 9.
Still, the prognostication here is for the Lobos to win by 5-7 points. Consider a partial-unit play on SAN JOSE STATE +8.5 (-110).
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Over/Under
This game features a clash of pace and has other factors that crisscross this total, some as Over indicators and some favoring the Under. PASS.
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