Auburn at Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions
The Auburn Tigers (16-3, 5-1 SEC) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-6, 2-4) meet Saturday in Starkville. The opening tipoff at Humphrey Coliseum will be at 3:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Auburn vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Auburn is ranked No. 6 in the Paste BN Sports Coaches Poll. The Tigers head into this game off a Wednesday loss to rival Alabama. AU was a +4 against the Crimson Tide, and bettors pushed on a 79-75 Alabama triumph. For the SEC's 2nd-best defensive team (66.0 points per game), the setback marked its 1st since Dec. 3.
Mississippi State also played Wednesday. An underdog of 3.5 points, MSU lost at 79-70 at Florida. Since Dec. 31, the Bulldogs are 1-5-1 against the spread.
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Auburn at Mississippi State odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access Paste BN Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Auburn -152 (bet $152 to win $100) | Mississippi State +126 (bet $100 to win $126)
- Against the spread (ATS): Auburn -3.5 (-102) | Mississippi State +3.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Auburn at Mississippi State picks and predictions
Prediction
Auburn 74, Mississippi State 73
Moneyline
MSU is the lean here but should only be an actionable one if the Bulldogs were a +130 or more. PASS.
Against the spread
Mississippi State is 4-1-1 ATS across its last 6 Saturday home dates.
AU defeated MSU 69-63 in Auburn last January, but the Bulldogs covered as a +7.5. For comps this season, its difficult to zero in on one because the Tigers have not played a tough schedule, especially on the road. KenPom rates the AU slate 68th; MSU comes in at 44th.
The Bulldogs beat KenPom No. 3 Tennessee in Starkville back on Jan. 10. Turnovers may prove to be a problem for MSU, but the home five matches up well against Auburn in many other respects. And Mississippi State excels in denying quality looks in the paint.
BACK THE BULLDOGS +3.5 (-120).
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Over/Under
The Over has cashed in 6 straight AU-MSU games and in 8 of the last 10 meetings held in Starkville.
Expect a not-blistering-but-fast-enough pace without a ton of triples. There should be plenty of scoring coming from turnovers, 2nd-chance looks and trips to the free-throw line.
THE OVER 145.5 (-110) IS A SOLID VALUE.
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